2023 Premier League Darts Finals Night Predictions, Betting Tips & Odds

An all-Welsh affair followed by a repeat of January’s World Championship final will decide who fights it out for the 2023 Premier League Darts title.

2023 Premier League Darts Final Night Odds

Premier League Darts Predictions & Betting Tips

First on the agenda at the O2 is table topper Gerwyn Price against 2021 winner Jonny Clayton. The bookies have this down as a comfortable win for Price (2/5 favourite), who is odds-on to progress even with a -2.5 handicap (best price 5/6).

However, this is new territory for ‘The Iceman’ Price, who failed to make the final four in his first five seasons in the Premier League. ‘The Ferret’ Clayton, on the other hand, makes it to finals night for the third time in four years. 

Despite holding the better overall Premier League darts record, it’s hard to make too much of a case for a Clayton win in London. Price has won four of their five matches in this year’s tournament, with an aggregate leg score of 28-14. 

Price became only the fifth player in Premier League history to finish top of the league phase after making nine nightly finals in 16 weeks (four nights won). His leg difference of +47 was 62 better than his Welsh counterpart (-15).

For betting on this match, it’s prudent to either side with Price outright or back him to record more 180s (4/9 so similar price) in the best of 19 semi-final. 

Given Clayton’s tournament record, we’ll go for the latter as a safer prick – Price has 62 more 180s than Clayton (112-50), with Price recording more 180s than anyone else in seven of 16 weeks (Clayton has never topped this stat).

Second on the bill is the eagerly anticipated showdown between Michael Smith and Michael van Gerwen, who returned from an injury scare in Leicester over the weekend.

MVG was troubled by an arm problem during his 6-3 quarter-final win over Chris Dobey in Aberdeen last Thursday before with withdrawing ahead of his semi-final against Dimitri Van den Bergh.

At the O2 on Thursday, MVG will bid to become the most successful player in the tournament’s history by claiming his seventh title (he shares the record with Phil Taylor on six wins).

For world champion Smith, it is his first time to the playoffs since finishing as the runner-up in 2018, when he lost 11-4 to MVG in the final.

Five years on, though, it is a different Smith for MVG to overcome. ‘Bully Boy’ has won the last two meetings between the pair (both 6-4), which explains his slight favouritism with the bookies.

However, we’re sticking with the 180s market for this 50-50 match. Smith has 15 more 180s than MVG across the whole tournament (102-87), while he racked up a record 15 180s in Week 9 (one of four times he’s hit the most). MVG has only once hit the most weekly 180s (nine in Week 10).

Going into last week’s league finale at Aberdeen, Smith had hit more 180s than his opponent in 58% of his matches (18 of 31), with MVG down at 30% (nine times from 30).