Italy vs England - Sunday 20:00

Euro 2020 Final Prediction: England vs Italy

  • There have been under 2.5 goals scored in 5 of England's last 6 games (European Championship).
  • Italy are undefeated in their last 18 matches (European Championship).
  • England are undefeated in their last 9 matches (European Championship).

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England vs Italy Prediction: Half time draw

It’s all come down to this. Sunday night under the Wembley arch England host Italy in what should be a truly fascinating tactical battle between two well matched teams.

The bookmakers can barely split the pair in the betting in the 90 minute market but England are slightly favoured to lift the trophy with home advantage certainly a factor in the pricing. 

We’ve seen England come on strong in the latter stages of games after keeping things relatively tight early on. Their sheer strength in depth is without doubt a benefit to Gareth Southgate. The ability to bring on the likes of Jordan Henderson, Jason Sancho, Phil Foden and Jack Grealish off the bench highlights the embarrassment of riches available. 

Many think that it’s the strong defences that manage to navigate their way to the final. It’s been the case the past couple of major international tournaments and has proved so here too. England have conceded just the one goal in the whole tournament, a stunning free kick from Damsgaard of Denmark. More impressively though, the three lions failed to concede a shot in the box against the Danes. A simply superb effort. 

Italy have conceded in each of their last three but just the trio of goals conceded is still a commendable effort from the Azzurri who are marshalled by the charismatic leader Giorgio Chiellini. Despite Chiellini and Bonucci struggling to get to grips with the false 9 employed by Spain they still managed to keep good chances to a minimum. 

They may struggle to cope with the pace England possess in Raheem Sterling and Bukayo Saka drifting in behind, watch out for that battle as Harry Kane is likely to drop in deeper. 

The markets are looking very efficient and understandably so with it being a major event. Goals aren’t expected with under 2.5 trading as short as 4/9 in places. 

With nerves at a maximum level and two teams very committed to being disciplined it’s the half time draw that stands out at 10/11 as the best bet here. It landed in both semi finals and with stakes so high a tentative first 45 is a big possibility. 

Italy vs England Prediction: Game to go to Penalties 

I’ll also have a nibble on the game to be settled on penalty kicks. It never seems a right way to settle a final but a nervous 120 minutes really would not be a surprise.

England vs Italy Odds

  England Draw Italy
Best Odds 7/4 2/1 11/5

England vs Italy Lineups:

England probable line-up (via WhoScored):

Pickford, Walker, Stones, Maguire, Shaw, Phillips, Rice, Saka, Mount, Sterling, Kane

Italy probable line-up (via WhoScored):

Donnarumma, Lorenzo, Bonucci, Chiellini, Emerson, Veratti, Jorginho, Barella, Chiesa, Immobile, Insigne

England vs Italy Head to Head

Date Match Score Away
27 Mar 2018 England vs Italy 1-1 International Friendly 
31 Mar 2015 Italy vs England 1-1 International Friendly
14 Jun 2014 England vs Italy 1-2 FIFA World Cup 2014

Italy vs England Prediction

England 0-0 Italy

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Half Time Draw - 2pts @ 10/11
Game to go to Penalties - 1pt @ 4/1