17:15 Kempton

In a race that might not take much winning Laura Pearson’s 3lb claim could prove all the difference. Havana Gold filly AURELIA GOLD let supporters down at Lingfield last time but she fluffed her lines somewhat at the start and only got going when the race was over. She is better judged on that neck second over C&D behind Vaxholm on penultimate start and given that horse has won twice since the form looks very solid. She was denied just a short head before that too so clearly gives her best running over this track and trip. She could still improve too and I think however you break this down she is overpriced at 4/1. New Bay filly Safety First is a likely improver now handicapping off a lowly mark and she might be the danger. Midgetonamission and Mcqueen are likely to be hot on their heels as well.

Profit and loss is calculated to level stakes. We stake 1 point on each Notebook (2), 1 on the Notebook Double and 1 on the Value Tip (total of 4 points per day)

Aurelia Gold - 1pt @ 4/1