16:00 Sunday

Brentford vs Leeds United Stats

  • Brentford are undefeated in their last seven home matches against Leeds in all competitions
  • Leeds United have failed to win any of their last five league games
  • 11 of Leeds United’s last 14 league goals have come in the second half of matches

 

Brentford vs Leeds United Tips

Betting Tip: Brentford win

The visitors currently sit in the relegation zone on goal difference and their survival depends on whether they can better Burnley’s result when they travel away to Brentford.

The hosts have had a fine first season and look set to achieve a midtable finish. The ‘Bees’ come into this one unbeaten in four of their last five home matches and they’ll fancy their chances of ending this season on a high in front of their fans, particularly given their record against Leeds United.

Thomas Frank’s side are undefeated in their last seven home matches against Leeds in all competitions and they have hit the back of the net in all of their other four home fixtures against sides currently in the bottom five.

Only bottom side Norwich City (41) have conceded more than Leeds United (40) away from home this season and they’re having to deal with suspensions to key players Luke Ayling and Dan James as well as injuries to Stuart Dallas, Adam Forshaw and Patrick Bamford. Jesse Marsch’s side doesn’t arrive in the best of form, failing to win any of their previous five matches and going all out for a win here could leave them vulnerable to Brentford on the counter.

I think the hosts are a little overpriced and that’s where I see the value.

Brentford - 1pt @ 29/20

16:00 Sunday

Betting Tip: Both teams to score in the second half

This is a big price in a game where I think we see goals. Brentford have hit the back of the net on 21 occasions in their home matches this season and 15 of those have been scored after the interval (71%).

I’d expect the first half to be a relatively cagey affair as Leeds look to suss out how they can hurt Brentford and claim a vital victory. But at some point, they need to go for it and this will potentially leave gaps for the hosts to try and exploit.

Of the 21 goals that Leeds United have scored away from home this campaign, 13 of those have arrived in the second half and 11 of their last 14 league goals have come after the break.

I think this match will be a slow burner but it should come to life in the second half and I like the odds on both teams hitting the back of the net after the break.

I’ll have another point on this play.

Both teams to score in the second half - 1pt @ 7/4