Acca Scout: Mark O’Haire Tips for Premier League Fixtures this weekend

Mark O’Haire Tips for Premier League Fixtures this weekend

Harry Kane Over 0.5 Fouls (19/20 Unibet)

Tottenham’s tussle with Man City is undoubtedly the Premier League’s standout fixture this weekend. Spurs gave the Citizens a real fright at the Etihad only a fortnight ago and will be looking to produce a similar performance in Antonio Conte’s absence on Sunday.

Harry Kane has covered the Over 2.5 Shots line in 17 (81%) of his 21 EPL encounters this term but instead I'm going to take a price on his work off the ball here. The England captain is actually averaging 0.9 fouls per-game and has committed at least one foul in 14 (67%) of his overall league appearances, including two in the reverse contest.

Dig a little deeper and we can see Kane has provided pay-outs in this market in five of six meetings with fellow ‘Big Six’ opposition this season, as well as in eight of 11 away days Tottenham. Expect the Spurs striker to drop deep to support the midfield as the North Londoners try to disrupt Man City’s possession-heavy rhythm.

Marc Guehi Over 0.5 Fouls (6/5 Unibet)

I’m staying on the fouls trail for my final selection as Marc Guehi just looks too big to ignore at 6/5 (2.18) to commit Over 0.5 Fouls in Saturday’s showdown between Man United and Crystal Palace. 

The Eagles centre-half is already averaging 0.8 fouls per-game this term and has committed at least one foul in 13 (68%) of 19 starts, with the 22-year-old completing 90 minutes on every occasion.

Guehi is bound to be put under pressure by Wout Weghorst’s physical approach, whilst the likes of Marcus Rashford, Antony, Anthony Martial and Bruno Fernandes (3/1 to score anytime) are all capable of drawing misdemeanours from opposition players. 

Harvey Barnes Over 0.5 Shots on-Target (1/1 Bet365)

And finally, despite Leicester’s travails this term, Harvey Barnes has been one of the most consistent Premier League operators in the final-third. 

The 25-year-old is averaging 2.55 shots per-90 and has managed to land a shot on-target in 14 (78%) of his 18 top-flight starts, including eight of nine away days, and 12 of his past 13 league fixtures across all venues.

It’s therefore surprising to see the Foxes forward available at 1/1 or 2.00 with bet365 (3/4 with Bet UK and Unibet) to enhance that record in Saturday’s showdown against Midland rivals Aston Villa.

Aston Villa are allowing an average of four shots on-target per-game since Unai Emery arrived with all four Premier League visitors to Villa Park managing a minimum of three on-target attempts in that same sample.