Mark O’Haire shares three predictions for the 2023/24 Premier League season.
2023/24 Premier League
The 2023/24 Premier League season gets underway on Friday night, as Burnley take on Manchester City at Turf Moor. Leading football betting analyst Mark O’Haire previews the action and checks on the latest betting odds to arrive at three predictions.
Premier League Predictions | Mark O’Haire Tips
- Arsenal ‘Without Man City’ @ 9/4 (Coral, Ladbrokes, Betway, Betfred)
- Brighton ‘Without the Big Seven’ @ 13/8 (Sky Bet, BetVictor)
- Harry Kane to be Top Goalscorer @ 12/1 e/w (Betway)
2023/24 Premier League Preview
Manchester City are odds-on favourites (5/6 Betway) to clinch a sixth Premier League crown in seven seasons and it’s difficult to dismiss the record-breaking Citizens. Pep Guardiola’s group became only the second English club to complete the treble in 2022/23, and now the Blue Moon have the unique opportunity to forge a legend for themselves.
Never before – from over 130 years of history – has a side ever achieved four top-flight titles on the trot, but that’s the prize on offer for Man City should they continue their outrageously impressive efforts. The Citizens have averaged an eye-popping 91 points and 97 goals over their previous six campaigns and again look the team to beat in the Outright Winner market.
However, the competition for top honours will be stiffer. Arsenal have retooled after surpassing all expectations last time out, Liverpool have overhauled their midfield following a disappointing renewal and Manchester United are a further year down the development track under the astute leadership of Erik ten Hag.
In 14 seasons since the formation of the Big Six, 2022/23 was only the second occasion where two of those half-dozen teams missed out on European qualification altogether. Now under new management, and without the extra workload from continental competition, both Chelsea and Tottenham will expect to feature in the top-four battle.
Elsewhere, Newcastle bid to maintain their domestic progress whilst sustaining a challenge in the Champions League, and progressive outfits such as Aston Villa and Brighton will be hoping to emulate the Toon Army by breaking into unchartered top-four territory this time around.
At the opposite end, Burnley are back in the big time after smashing a century of Championship points en-route to the title, and are joined in the top-flight by Sheffield United and Luton. Last season was only the fourth occasion in 31 years that none of the promoted teams suffered an immediate relegation, but grave concerns surround the Blades and Hatters prospects.
Nevertheless, Everton survived by the skin of their teeth last time out and the Toffees look likely to be joined in a scrap for survival alongside the likes of Wolves, Nottingham Forest, Crystal Palace, Bournemouth, Fulham, and potentially even Europa Conference League winners West Ham following a tumultuous off-season in the east end.
Premier League Odds
Who are the favourites to win the Premier League?
Manchester City are odds-on favourites (best price 5/6) to clinch a sixth Premier League crown in seven seasons. Pep Guardiola’s City are coming off the back of a treble-winning 2022/23 campaign but have lost captain Ilkay Gundogan and Riyad Mahrez to Barcelona and Al-Ahli respectively, bringing in Mateo Kovacic from Chelsea and highly rated centre-back Josko Gvardiol from RB Leipzig.
Premier League Winner Odds
| Team | Best Odds | Worst Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Man City | 5/6 | 4/6 |
| Arsenal | 5/1 | 4/1 |
| Liverpool | 8/1 | 6/1 |
| Man Utd | 11/1 | 17/2 |
| Chelsea | 18/1 | 12/1 |
| Newcastle | 25/1 | 14/1 |
| Tottenham | 50/1 | 33/1 |
Premier League Relegation Odds
| Team | Best Odds | Worst Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Luton | 4/11 | 3/10 |
| Sheffield United | 4/6 | 4/7 |
| Nottingham Forest | 5/2 | 21/10 |
| Bournemouth | 11/4 | 2/1 |
| Everton | 3/1 | 11/4 |
| Wolverhampton | 33/10 | 5/2 |
| Fulham | 7/2 | 3/1 |
| Burnley | 9/2 | 9/4 |
| Crystal Palace | 8/1 | 5/1 |
| Brentford | 10/1 | 7/1 |
| West Ham | 12/1 | 7/1 |
Mark O’Haire Premier League Tips
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Arsenal ‘Without Man City’ @ 9/4 (Coral, Ladbrokes, Betway, Betfred)
Arsenal were Premier League favourites at the beginning of April before the wheels came off in the final six weeks of the season. The Gunners have since strengthened their squad with the statement signing of Declan Rice, as well as adding depth and quality to key positions with the arrivals of Kai Havertz and Jurrien Timber, suggesting they’re ready for another assault on top honours.
With Liverpool revamping their midfield and question marks surrounding the rest of the so-called Big Seven challengers, Mikel Arteta’s men look to be the best-placed side capable of challenging Manchester City. The 5/1 on the Man City–Arsenal appeals, although the 9/4 on Arsenal ‘Without Man City’ provides more protection.
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Brighton ‘Without the Big Seven’ @ 13/8 (Sky Bet, BetVictor)
Brighton went off favourites against Manchester United at Wembley in the FA Cup semi-final as recently as April, yet the betting markets appear to have forgotten how highly they rated the Seagulls in the latter part of 2022/23. Of course, Alexis Mac Allister has departed and Moises Caicedo could still leave, but Roberto De Zerbi’s gung-ho outfit still command maximum respect.
The Seasiders have a reputation for shrewd operating in the transfer market, and a burgeoning squad is a year further down the development track, giving cause for optimism as Brighton bid to match last season’s exploits. Aston Villa provide competition in this market, although Unai Emery’s team were on the right-side of many marginal matches last term, whereas BHA dominated the data.
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Harry Kane to be Top Goalscorer @ 12/1 e/w (Betway)
Another summer of protracted transfer rumours, speculation and bids from Bayern Munich have plagued Tottenham and Harry Kane. At the time of writing, the England skipper appears likely to be leading Spurs’ line in the Ange Postecoglou revolution, with a possible switch to the Bundesliga decaying with each day.
Kane therefore holds major claims to be crowned Top Goalscorer, an award he’s already won four times. Chasing Alan Shearer’s all-time record, the Tottenham titan has notched a minimum of 17 goals in each of his past nine campaigns and looks exceptional 12/1 each-way value again in 2022/23, especially considering one of his chief rivals, Mo Salah, must negotiate AFCON mid-season.
