Have you held on to your wildcard for Arsenal’s fixture swing starting in GW10? How heavy are you going on Aston Villa assets? Are you really willing to lose James Maddison and Heung-min Son after both scored against Fulham on the Monday Night Football?

FPL Captain Picks – Haaland vs Salah vs Watkins vs Saka

Goal contribution probabilities in the FPL captain picks table below are taken from best prices at the time of writing through oddschecker, where you can compare odds from 25+ UK bookmakers.

Player Goal Assist Goal Contribution
Salah (NFO Home) 52.4% 30.3% 82.7%
Saka (SHU Home) 44.4% 35.7% 80.1%
Watkins (LUT Home) 50% 26.7% 76.7%
Haaland (MUN Away) 55.6% 18.2% 73.8%

 

FPL Captain Tips from FPL Heisenberg

This is a week we can look away from Haaland with the likes of Watkins, Salah and Saka all having better fixtures. I'm tempted by Watkins, but looking at the odds I'm tempted to switch to Salah.

FPL Tips GW10 – Can you fit in Haaland, Salah, Son & Trippier?

Chelsea’s Cole Palmer is one of the most popular 'enablers' in midfield ahead of the Blues’ home match with Brentford on Saturday lunchtime. 

Is the 21-year-old penalty taker the key to unlocking a GW10 wildcard draft with all of the big hitters including Haaland, Salah, Son and Trippier?

We look at the likelihood of Palmer and five other leading sub £5.5m midfield options playing their part in a Premier League goal this weekend.

Player (Match) Goal Assist Goal Contribution
Palmer (BRE Home) 26.7% 22.2% 48.9%
Douglas Luiz (LUT Home) 26.7% 22.2% 48.9%
Hwang (NEW Home) 20% 11.1% 31.1%
Soucek (EVE Home) 13.3% 14.3% 27.6%
Longstaff (WOL Away) 11.8% 14.3% 25.8%

 

Best Budget Enablers for FPL

There's some really nice budget enablers emerging - some are even on pens! Which brings me on to my favourite two - Douglas Luiz and Cole Palmer. 

If you can afford Luiz then I like him the most given Villa's fixtures. However, if you need to save extra cash then Cole Palmer at £5.0m is a steal. With both being on penalties, they have routes to points even in tough games.

Wildcard Sales – FPL Predicted Points for GW10’s Most Sold

FPL predicted points for the ‘most sold’ players includes the likelihood of goals, assists and clean sheets (varying points for each apart from Haaland/Alvarez), minus the probability of a yellow card. 

It does not factor in bonus points, while it assumes – if fit to play - each of the players will pass 60 minutes to collect the two appearance points.

Player (Match) Predicted Points
Son (CRY Away 4.99
Haaland (MUN Away) 4.59
Maddison (CRY Away 4.48
Udogie (CRY Away) 4.06
Alvarez (MUN Away) 4.02
Rashford (MCI Home) 3.59
Mbeumo (CHE Away) 3.53
Fernandes (MCI Home) 3.30

 

FPL Most Sold Players

Everyone on this list is a solid FPL asset (particularly Son looking at the odds above). Unfortunately, you may have to sell some of them if you want to squeeze in the likes of Salah. 

For me, it's not a case of thinking these players blank, it's about making room for players with better fixtures... Unfortunately, you can't them all in FPL!