FPL Tips for Gameweek 14 from FPL Heisenberg using latest odds through oddschecker.
Arsenal will look to stretch their lead in the Premier League title race against Wolves on Saturday, with their closest rivals Liverpool, Spurs and Manchester City not in action until Sunday.
Is anyone eyeing up an Arsenal player as captain for FPL GW14?
FPL Captain Picks – Who is the best captain for GW14?
It looks set to be a close race for the captain’s armband in GW14 with Mohamed Salah playing a Fulham side who have leaked 13 goals in just seven matches on the road. Erling Haaland, meanwhile, takes on a Spurs team without first choice centre-backs Micky Van de Ven and Cristian Romero.
Here is the GW14 goal contribution probabilities for this week’s most popular captain picks.
| Player (Match) | Goal | Assist | Goal Contribution |
|---|---|---|---|
| Haaland (TOT Home) | 63.6% | 22.2% | 85.8% |
| Salah (FUL Home) | 52.4% | 30.8% | 83.2% |
| Mbeumo (LUT Home) | 43.5% | 22.2% | 65.7% |
| Saka (WOL Home) | 35.7% | 28.6% | 64.3% |
FPL Heisenberg Verdict: Captaincy has to be between the two big boys Haaland and Salah this week and the probabilities back that up.
I'm not going to persuade anyone on or off either of them, but I'm personally on Haaland against a Spurs side who should concede plenty of chances.
FPL Predicted Points for Midfielders in GW14
If you’re looking for a replacement for Jarrod Bowen (missing in the Europa League), the three top transfers in this gameweek might be a good place to start.
How do Bryan Mbeumo, Anthony Gordon and Bukayo Saka (if budget allows) fare for predicted points against other top midfield picks?
| Player (Match) | Predicted Points |
|---|---|
| Mbeumo (LUT Home) | 5.17 |
| Saka (WOL Home) | 5.04 |
| Doku (TOT Home) | 4.36 |
| Sterling (BHA Home) | 4.32 |
| Palmer (BHA Home) | 4.25 |
| Gordon (MUN Home) | 4.13 |
| Kudus (CRY Home) | 4.02 |
FPL Heisenberg Verdict: It has to be Mbeumo. A great run of fixtures and his underlying stats are great. As you can see above, he has the highest expected points of the Bowen replacement options.
FPL Tips: Who are the best replacements for Matty Cash?
There are a lot of FPL managers looking to jump off Aston Villa assets ahead of matches with Man City, Arsenal and Brentford in Gameweeks 15-17.
Matty Cash, in particular, has been a popular sell before Villa play Bournemouth after getting subbed at half-time in his side’s comeback win at Spurs last week.
The Polish international was also withdrawn before the 60-minute mark at Nottingham Forest. But who are the likeliest teams to bank a clean sheet in GW14?
| Team (Match) | Clean Sheet |
|---|---|
| Arsenal (WOL Home) | 54.5% |
| Liverpool (FUL Home) | 46.5% |
| Brentford (LUT Home) | 45.5% |
| Man City (TOT Home) | 42.1% |
| West Ham (CRY Home) | 38.1% |
| Newcastle (MUN Home) | 32.3% |
| Chelsea (BHA Home) | 32.3% |
| Aston Villa (BOU Away | 27.8% |
FPL Heisenberg Verdict: Tsimikas (LIV) has three nice fixtures coming up so he's a great option - decent assist threat too. However, if you haven't got an Arsenal defender yet now is the time to get one as their defensive numbers are the best in the league this season.
