
Friday football tips from oddschecker football betting analyst Neil Macdonald.
17:30 Friday
Napoli vs Monza
Both teams to score: Yes at 1.91 with Bet365 - 1 point
- Walter Mazzarri has been in the Napoli job for only eight games, and it looks likely he could be shown the door very soon. Napoli's defence of the title has been one of the worst in recent memory.
- From the eight games Mazzarri has taken charge of, his side have kept just a single clean sheet; that came in the Champions League at home to Braga, who actually racked up 1.85 xG and got off 19 attempts on Napoli’s goal.
- This season, we’re seeing 1.41 xGA per match for Napoli, compared to 1.05 last season.
- Napoli also have a very thin squad heading into this match; Osimhen and Politano are both suspended for their red cards against Roma, while Olivera, Elmas, Lobotka, and Natan are out.
- Italian media are suggesting that Mazzarri could shake things up with a three-man backline, consisting of De Lorenzo, Rrahmani, and Jesus, with Mario Rui and Lindstrom playing as wing-backs.
- Monza rank ninth for non-penalty chance creation, so I have no doubts they’ll be able to trouble the Napoli side, who are low on confidence.
- Monza, however, are pretty poor defensively, and as bad as Napoli have been, they should score at least once.
- Monza are conceding just 1.11 goals this season, but their xGA per 90 tells a different story, with 1.7 given up per game.
- Furthermore, they’ve given up an average of 1.8 goals per game in their last 10 matches against top-half teams.
- They will also be weaker defensively, with starting centre-back Pablo Mari out suspended.








