Below you can find the reasoning behind each single part of the bet builder from full time professional punter Neel Shah.

Hungary to Win

As mentioned earlier, Hungary have handled themselves well against elite competition in recent years. In their last Euros appearance, they had the ultimate group of death with three previous winners, Portugal, France and Germany all in their group. 

Although they finished bottom, they held both France and Hungary to a draw and their only defeat came against Portugal where they conceded all three goals in the last 10 minutes. 

Given the progress this side has made since then and the emergence of Dominik Szoboszlai as their star man and captain, they have a great chance against a competent Swiss side but a certainly beatable one. 

The OPTA supercomputer gives Switzerland a 40% chance of winning the game and Hungary just a 30% chance but I like Hungary’s chances far more than that.

Dominik Szoboszlai Over 0.5 Tackles

Although Szoboszlai plays a more advanced role for his national team than for Liverpool, he’s developed the defensive side of his game under Jurgen Klopp and has shown his energy levels throughout the season. 

For the national side he has attempted a successful tackle at least once in nine of his last 12 games and had at least two in four of those.

Hungary look to press from the front attacking positions and work in unison to block their opponents and average a 65% success rate in winning defensive duels across the last two years. 

Dominik Szoboszlai Over 2.5 Shots

It’s somewhat correlated that for Hungary to get a decent result, we would expect their star player to have a decent game and although it would be unfair to call Hungary a one man team, his attacking ability is a huge asset to them. 

He averages 1.99 shots per game and hit three against Kosovo, four against Montenegro and Lithuania and a whopping nine against Bulgaria in the past season. 

Admittedly the standard of opposition that Hungary have faced recently is rather poor, but he also managed shots against Italy, Germany and England going further back. 

Over 3.5 Cards

Slavko Vincic is the referee for this game and he has given out an average of 3.83 cards across his six Champions League games this season. His all-time record from available data stands at 3.94 cards per game across a 71 game sample. 

With the added potential angle of referees being directed to book any players who approach the referee about decisions (bar the team captains), this could add another potential source of value to this line. 

Hungary picked up four bookings in their recent friendly with Israel alone and the Swiss picked up at least two bookings in three of their last four friendly games. 

With the heightened pressure of this being a competitive match at the Euros and all those factors discussed, I think we have a good chance of landing this line, especially so early on in the tournament.