Below you can find the reasoning behind each part of the bet from Grant Heaney.

Spain Double Chance

Spain are 19/20 favourites on BetMGM to overcome Croatia in their opening match of Euro 2024 but they are unlikely to have things all their own way against the Chequered Ones.

The Croatians have long been tough nuts to crack and they are the sort of side who are capable of frustrating the Spanish for long periods of this game.

Zlatko Dalic’s side have plenty of recent major tournament pedigree, having finished as runners-up at the 2018 World Cup before reaching the semi-finals of the 2022 edition.

Therefore, Croatia look capable of holding their own against a Spain side that are notoriously slow starters on the big international stage.

So rather than siding with Luis de la Fuente's side in a fixture that represents a potential banana skin, the smarter option is to support Spain in the double chance market.

Mateo Kovacic to be Carded

Croatia will almost certainly set out to disrupt Spain’s rhythm and that could well lead to a few cards being handed out by referee Michael Oliver.

Mateo Kovacic picked up two yellow cards at the 2022 World Cup and looks a likely candidate to tackle his way into trouble at the Olympiastadion.

The midfielder started just 16 times for Man City during the 2023/24 Premier League season, yet he still collected four cautions across his overall 30 top-flight appearances.

The combative Croatian therefore looks a good option to have his name taken when trying to tame what is a technically gifted Spain team.

Rodri To Commit 1+ Foul

Rodri regularly runs the show for both club and country but he also isn’t afraid to do the dirty work when required.

The Spanish midfield maestro averaged 1.2 fouls per-game across all competitions for Man City during the most recent season, racking up 10 yellow cards along the way for good measure.

It’s also worth noting that no Spanish player committed more fouls during Euro 2024 qualifying than Rodri, who was reprimanded nine times in seven appearances for La Roja.

Given that this Group B opener could turn into a bit of a midfield battle, Rodri is sure to be in the thick of it if that does prove to be the case.