Jesus Navas Card

With Carvajal suspended due to an accumulation of too many cards, Navas will undoubtedly have the toughest job on the pitch Tuesday night. 

He’ll have to keep out Mbappe (or at least try). Mbappe as talented as he may be in a multitude of areas, is most known for his pace and will be fully aware of the importance to utilise this against the 38 year old right back. 

Navas is priced around 5/1 to be carded which is an extremely generous price. Mbappe has drawn a foul in all of his last seven starts and I’m counting on him to draw a cynical one from Navas here.

Under 2.5 Goals

Like so many of the matches recently, this is another poised to be a low-scoring affair. France have been exceptional at the back, conceding only once in the tournament with their experienced back line featuring Koundé, Saliba, Upamecano and Hernández.

Spain, while more dynamic in attack, will miss key players due to suspensions and injuries which could lead to a less fluent team than we’re used to. 

17 of the last 24 matches during Euro 2024 have gone under 2.5 goals and I believe this is going to be another one of those games to increase that stat.