Scott Thornton has backed Wayne Rooney’s Plymouth to lose at home to Luton in tonight’s Championship match.
Plymouth vs Luton
Below you can find more on each part of Scott's Plymouth vs Luton bet builder, with the option to back each individual leg directly through oddschecker at best price.
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Luton To Win
After losing three of their opening four matches, Luton were teetering on the edge of a crisis but they have rallied in recent weeks. The Hatters looked sharp as they dispatched of Sheffield Wednesday last weekend. They also triumphed in their last away game as they beat Millwall 1-0.
Plymouth’s only victory was in their six league outings was a shock 3-2 win over Sunderland. They have only scored two league goals in their other five matches so don’t expect them to present a huge threat going forward.
Argyle have a poor record against Luton. They have failed to win any of the last five head-to-heads between the sides. They have conceded an average of two goals per game in those matches and scored an average of 0.4.
Under 2.5 Goals
Plymouth’s league matches thus far have seen an average of 2.5 goals thus far but the underlying data paints a bleaker picture. Argyle have the third-lowest xG in the Championship with an average of 0.73 per game. They have slightly overperformed this by scoring 0.83 goals per game on average.
They face a Luton side that are also struggling to get on the scoresheet. Like Plymouth, the Hatters have scored an average of 0.83 goals per game so goals could be at a premium here. Under 2.5 goals has landed in all three of Luton’s league matches on the road in the current season.
Over 4.5 Cards
Both Plymouth and Luton matches rank fairly highly in terms of cards so we are backing over 4.5 when they go toe-to-toe.
The Hatters’ six games have seen ana average of 5.83, the fourth most in the Championship. There have been five cards or more in five of their six league matches overall. There have been five cards or more in all three of their away matches and the average card count rises to 6.67.
Plymouth matches have seen an average of 5.5 cards per game, 3.17 for Rooney’s side and 2.33 for the opposition. There were eight cards the last time they played at Home Park Stadium so we should see cards in abundance on Friday night. There were six cards in the match the last time that Argyle hosted Luton.
John Busby is the referee for this one. He has officiated four matches in the Championship this season and there were five cards or more in three of those. His average card tally of 5.25 per game is also above the overall league average of 4.83.
