The in-form Forest striker Chris Wood makes Macca’s Friday Night Bet Builder tips.
20:00 Friday
Here’s more on each part of Macca’s Leicester vs Nottingham Forest bet builder, which pays 10/1 on BetMGM at the time of writing.
BetMGM UK
Chris Wood to Score
The saying goes, "If it ain't broke, don't fix it." We backed Wood to score last week in our winning bet builder, and he's fantastic value to do so again this week. Against Palace, Wood came close twice with headers from point-blank range that nearly found the back of the net.
Despite a frustrating first half, Wood redeemed himself in the 65th minute. Dean Henderson got a hand to it but couldn't keep out Wood's well-struck half-volley from the edge of the box, giving Forest the lead.
Wood took four shots throughout the game, accumulating an impressive 0.89 expected goals (xG). Once again, he delivered.
Wood has started all eight Premier League games for Forest this season, scoring five goals so far. He’s now netted in back-to-back games and is averaging 0.58 xG per game, consistent with last season's underlying metrics. Plus, he’s on penalty duty and has never missed one in his professional career.
Bookies are yet again pricing him over 2/1 to score in another game where Forest come into this as favourites. We’ll take that and use oddschecker’s price comparisons to squeeze even more value out of this pick.
Ryan Yates To Be Carded
We can’t enter an East Midland’s derby without looking at the card markets and I’m glad I did. Ryan Yates is averaging the most fouls in the Forest team this season barring Gibbs-White who is currently out injured.
He’s averaging 1.85 fouls per 90 minutes. He’ll likely be tasked with keeping Leicester’s Buonanotte at bay who draws 2.32 fouls per 90.
Yates has been carded twice is his last four starts and his odds to be carded again look too high given the nature of the game and who he’ll be up against.
