Mark O'Haire is backing Man City to lose again as part of his bet builder for the Saturday lunchtime kick off at Villa Park.
Villa vs Man City - 12:30 Saturday
Man City’s demise dropped to a new low last week as the Citizens coughed up a winning position to lose the Manchester derby late on at the Etihad.
Having started the Premier League campaign with seven wins from nine unbeaten matches, the defending champions have completely collapsed in their following seven fixtures (W1-D1-L5).
Extend that slide across all competitions and Pep Guardiola’s group are in an unprecedented position. The derby loss was their eighth in 11 (W1-D2-L8) with City shipping multiple goals in 10 of those tussles. Four of their eight defeats have arrived by a two-goal margin or more, whilst leads have been lost on multiple occasions.
Remarkably, only four clubs have conceded more Big Chances in the Premier League this season, and with the Citizens allowing an enormous 1.88 Expected Goals (xG) per-game over their last eight EPL outings, it’s hard to have confidence in the visiting team here considering they’ve failed to succeed in each of their last two trips to Villa Park.
Aston Villa vs Man City Prediction
The WhoScored prediction for Aston Villa vs Man City is 1-0 to Villa (14/1 William Hill), a result which would see Villa climb to 5th - at least until Bournemouth play Man United.
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Aston Villa vs Man City Bet Builder Tips
Our bet builder tips for the early kick off in the Premier League this weekend come from Mark O'Haire, who is backing Villa to Win, Jhon Duran to Score Anytime and Matheus Nunes to Commit Over 0.5 Fouls.
Compare prices below and back it directly through oddschecker at the best price.
Here’s more on each of the three legs for Mark’s bet builder. At the time of writing, the best price available was 10/1 on BetMGM.
Aston Villa to Win
Over the past year, Aston Villa have beaten Man City, Arsenal and Bayern Munich at Villa Park. Arsenal escaped with victory here earlier this season, though Unai Emery’s outfit deserved at least a share of the soils that day. The hosts are ranked second in the home Expected Points (xP) rankings, winning the xG battle in seven of eight home outings.
Jhon Duran Anytime Goalscorer
Jhon Duran has scored in three straight Aston Villa appearances for the first time and has now notched in all five of his starts across all competitions this season.
The Colombian should be given the nod to lead the Villains line again this weekend and his physicality has the potential to really unsettle Man City’s dreadful defence.
Matheus Nunes to Commit a Foul
Matheus Nunes’ move to Man City hasn’t worked and the former Wolves man has looked lost in a hybrid midfield/left-back role bestowed upon him in recent weeks.
The Portuguese has committed a foul in 10 of his last 12 outings for the Citizens, averaging 2.02 fouls per-90 across his Premier League and Champions League dates this term.
