We've picked out a big price treble for this weekend's Premier League football made up of positive EV bets from our new AI-powered tool.
At the start of a busy few weeks of football over the festive period, the oddschecker team have picked out a 24/1 three-legged accumulator for the weekend’s Premier League action, courtesy of the brand new oddschecker+ Expected Value (EV) tool. Probabilities quoted were accurate as of 09:00 on 21/12/2024.
What are positive EV bets?
When bookmakers set betting lines, they estimate the likelihood of each outcome. Positive Expected Value (EV) Bets leverages advanced AI to perform 100 million projections each week and monitors 125 million live price changes daily. This enables it to identify bets that have a higher probability of winning than the lines suggest.
For the three selections included in the accumulator below, the EV at the time of posting was 39%, 54% and 81% EV respectively, meaning the implied probability of each leg coming in according to our AI projection tech was 39%, 54% and 81% likelier than the odds would suggest.
At the time of writing, this accumulator pays a best price of 24/1 on bet365. The same bet is 11/1 with another of the bookmakers through oddschecker.
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Brentford vs Nottingham Forest - Kevin Schade to score anytime
Brentford attacker Kevin Schade has netted an impressive four goals in his last two home league outings for the Bees, and inside just 87 minutes of game time.
The 23-year-old is viewed as overpriced by the OC+ EV tool, given a 39% expected ROI based on our AI-powered predictive model.
Leicester vs Wolves - Jørgen Strand Larsen to score anytime
Wolves' Jørgen Strand Larsen is the second leg of our accumulator and one of the EV picks of the weekend in the Premier League.
The Norwegian international has scored six times already in the league from just 1324 minutes of action. Among his teammates, only Matheus Cunha has averaged more shots per game.
However, the Brazilian forward is facing a ban for his actions after the Ipswich defeat and confusion remains as to whether he is available for this game.
At the current price to score, Larsen is given a 25% implied probability, whereas our AI-powered model suggests a 45% chance (81% EV).
Tottenham vs Liverpool - Yves Bissouma to have over 0.5 shots
The final selection in our weekend accumulator is for Tottenham midfielder Yves Bissouma to have at least one shot against Liverpool on Sunday afternoon.
Bissouma is given a 71.6% probability of doing so against 46.51% implied from the odds, resulting in an Expected Value of nearly 54% according to our AI-powered model.
