20:15 Friday

Two more matches in the Premier League today as the busy period of festive football shows no sign of slowing. The oddschecker team has picked out two best value bets to include in your Friday accas, courtesy of the brand new oddschecker+ Expected Value (EV) tool.

What are positive EV bets?

When bookmakers set betting lines, they estimate the likelihood of each outcome.

Positive Expected Value (EV) Bets leverages advanced AI to perform 100 million projections each week and monitors 125 million live price changes daily. This enables it to identify bets that have a higher probability of winning than the lines suggest. 

Football Tips for Today's Premier League Football

Our best value bet for Friday 27th December's Premier League football is Ipswich's Omari Giraud-Hutchinson to have over 1.5 shots. 

The EV for this selection at the time of posting was 31.96%. That's because our AI projection tech suggests it is 62.84% likely but the odds imply just a 47.62% chance even though he has averaged 1.4 shots per game in the Premier League this season.

The second EV selection for today's football is Gabriel Martinelli to score anytime - a 23.57% EV bet based on it being 42.61% likely according to AI but 34.48% at the odds.

Martinelli scored last time out against Crystal Palace and will be expected to step up in Bukayo Saka's injury-enforced absence. Only Wolves, Leicester and Southampton have conceded more goals than Ipswich.