After picking out two winners in last week's column, we've picked out three of the best bets from our Expected Value tool for this weekend's Premier League and EFL Action.
12:30 Saturday - Cardiff City vs. Plymouth Argyle
Ruben Colwill has scored in back-to-back home league games for Cardiff City to start the League One campaign, and our Expected Value tool believes the bookies' odds are too wide for him to strike again against Plymouth.
Currently best odds of 14/5 with Bet MGM, Unibet, and Virgin Bet, our model has this bet priced up at 7/5. Giving the price of 14/5 and EV of 59.66%.
Argyle have conceded five goals in two away fixtures so far this campaign, so Cardiff will be expecting to find the back of the net at least once Saturday lunchtime.
15:00 Saturday - Portsmouth vs. Preston
Australian international, Adrian Segecic, has enjoyed a fine start to life on the South Coast at Portsmouth, finding the back of the net in two of his three league starts for Pompey. His side host Preston at Fratton Park on Saturday, and our Expected Value tool has flagged Segecic to achieve at least one shot on target as a play.
Currently priced up at best odds of 3/4, our EV tool has this bet closer to a 2/5 bet. Giving the bet an Expected Value of 26.26%. You can grab those odds with Bet MGM, Unibet, and Virgin Bet at the time of writing.
14:00 Sunday - Nottingham Forest vs. West Ham United
Our final value play of the weekend comes at the City Ground, where Nottingham Forest host troubled West Ham United. Forest winger, Callum Hudson-Odoi, has had a shot on target in both fixtures so far in the Premier League, so a price of evens and above seems a steal.
Currently available at best odds of 5/4, our Expected Value tool has Hudson-Odoi around 4/6 to score an SOT in Sunday's fixture, giving the bet an expected value of 27.17% at the current best odds.
