Arsenal and Bayern clash at the Emirates in an undefeated Champions League battle. The Gunners aim to maintain a perfect defense against UCL table-toppers.
Arsenal vs Bayern Form and Head to Head
Arsenal enjoyed a dominant 4-1 victory over Tottenham in their most recent Premier League outing at the Emirates. The Gunners have been in impressive form, winning five of their last six matches in all competitions, with one draw coming away to Sunderland.
Bayern also come into this match on the back of a high-scoring win, thrashing Freiburg 6-2 at home in the Bundesliga. The Bavarians are in similarly strong form, having won five of their last six matches, drawing the other away to Union Berlin.
The fact that Arsenal have seen over 2.5 goals in their last 3 home matches against Bayern in all competitions, suggests that this is a fixture that has historically provided plenty of goalmouth action.
The last time these two sides met, Bayern emerged victorious with a 1-0 win at home in the Champions League in April 2024.
Across the last six meetings, Bayern have had the edge, winning three, drawing two, and losing just one.
Arsenal vs Bayern Team News
Arsenal will be without Gabriel Jesus, Gabriel Magalhães, Viktor Gyökeres, Kai Havertz, and Martin Ødegaard due to injury. Riccardo Calafiori is also a doubt with a hip issue.
Bayern are missing Alphonso Davies, Jamal Musiala and Serge Gnabry through injury, while Luis Díaz is suspended. Manuel Neuer is doubtful with a stomach issue.
Arsenal vs Bayern Predicted Lineups
Arsenal (4-3-3): Raya; Calafiori, Hincapié, Saliba, Timber; Rice, Zubimendi, Eze; Trossard, Merino, Saka
Bayern (4-2-3-1): Neuer; Stanisic, Upamecano, Tah, Laimer; Pavlovic, Kimmich; Olise, Jackson, Karl; Kane
Who is the betting favourite in Arsenal vs Bayern?
According to latest odds, Arsenal are slight favourites over Bayern Munich for their Champions League clash for a home win, with roughly a 46% chance. Meanwhile, Bayern are underdogs for their visit at the Emirates.
| Result | Best Odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|
| Arsenal | 23/20 | Ladbrokes |
| Bayern Munich | 5/2 | BetMGM |
| Draw | 13/5 | BetVictor |
Odds last updated on 14:30, Wednesday, 26th November
Midnite
Arsenal vs Bayern Match Prediction
This promises to be a tight affair between two of Europe's top teams. Arsenal, sitting second in the Champions League table, have a strong defense and home advantage, but Bayern, who are top of the table, boast a wealth of attacking talent. The Gunners' strengths lie in their defensive stability and control, while Bayern excel in attack and big-game experience. A high-scoring draw seems the most likely outcome, with both sides having enough quality to find the back of the net.
Prediction: Arsenal 2-2 Bayern
Arsenal vs Bayern Player Stat Trends
Gabriel Martinelli has scored in 3 out of 3 games.
Martín Zubimendi has been carded in 3 out of 3 games.
Michael Olise has attempted over 2.5 shots in 4 out of 4 games.
Luis Díaz has recorded over 1.5 shots on target in 3 out of 3 games.
Aleksandar Pavlovic has recorded over 0.5 shots in 3 out of 4 games.
Mikel Merico has committed a foul over 0.5 times in 4 out of 4 games.
Macca's Arsenal vs Bayern Bet Builder Tip
Arsenal welcome Bayern Munich to the Emirates tonight. Mikel Arteta’s side comes into this one looking far more controlled and balanced than the versions Bayern have beaten in past seasons, and there’s a quiet confidence around the Emirates that this group can finally stand up to Europe’s heavyweights.
Arsenal’s press and possession approach has been suffocating teams all year, with Declan Rice and Martin Ødegaard dictating games and Bukayo Saka carrying most of the threat in the final third.
Bayern will still be a tough test.
Even in a season where they’ve looked more fragile domestically, their individual quality is still great. Harry Kane’s form means Arsenal can’t switch off for a second.
Olise Over 1.5 Fouls Committed
Olise has become one of Bayern’s more aggressive pressers, committing the third most fouls in the squad and hitting at least one foul in 9 of his last 10 appearances. His defensive work rate has gone up recently, but so has the risk of him mistiming challenges.
The matchup today makes the higher line worth taking. He’s likely to be dealing with Skelly, who has started consistently in the Champions League and is currently being fouled 3.05 times per 90 across his last 20 starts.
Skelly invites contact, shields the ball well, and goes down very easily when pressured.
Given the numbers on both sides, Olise's fouls look great.
Olise Over 0.5 Shots on Target
Sticking with Olise here. He’s been incredibly reliable for shot accuracy, hitting the target in 26 of his last 30 games. It’s even better, though: 18 of those 30 starts cleared 1.5 shots on target, and he’s averaging 1.83 per game across that spell.
I was tempted to take the 2+ line again, given how often he reaches it, but Arsenal are one of the strongest defensive teams in Europe right now. They don’t allow many clear shooting opportunities, and most attackers end up taking lower-quality efforts against them. Because of that, the safer play is sticking with 1+, especially when the odds look far better than you’d expect for someone this consistent.
Best odds of 18/5 available on BetMGM during publishing.
