The EV Eagle has landed on Oddschecker! 

In this new daily tipping series, the EV Eagle picks out their best bets from our Positive Expected Value tool, one of the premium tools available to Oddschecker+ subscribers. 

In today's article, the Eagle has picked out four of the best EV bets from today's football.

How does Positive Expected Value (EV) betting work?

When bookmakers set betting lines, they estimate the likelihood of each outcome.

Value Bets, our Positive EV Tool available for Oddschecker+ subscribers, leverages advanced AI to perform 100 million projections each week and monitors 125 million live price changes daily. This enables it to identify bets that have a higher probability of winning than what the lines suggest.

Swansea vs Wrexham

Tip 1: Ethan Galbraith – Over 0.5 Fouls vs Wrexham – 1.25pt

8/11 with Ladbrokes

74% AI probability, 58% odds implied probability, 28% Expected Value

Swansea’s right-back has committed a foul in eight of his last 11 games. Wrexham arrive in strong form, having lost just once in their last 11 fixtures, while Swansea are struggling badly with six defeats in their last eight.

Wrexha will fancy their chances here and are likely to make this a physical contest. With Swansea potentially spending long spells on the back foot, Galbraith looks well placed to commit at least one foul when under pressure.

Dortmund vs Borussia M'gladbach

Tip 2: Julian Brandt – Over 0.5 Shots On Target vs Gladbach – 1pt

31/20 with BetMGM

62% AI probability, 39% odds implied probability

Brandt is in excellent form, scoring three goals across his last two games. He averages two shots per 90 this season and has hit the target twice in each of his last two appearances, while also recording at least one shot on target in his last three.

Gladbach have conceded the fifth most shots in the league this season, suggesting Brandt should see plenty of opportunities to test the goalkeeper.

Valencia vs Real Mallorca

Tip 3: Lucas Beltrán – Over 1.5 Shots vs Mallorca – 1pt

20/23 with Betway

62% AI probability, 53% odds implied probability, 16% Expected Value

Beltrán is in red-hot form, scoring in three of his last four games and shooting with real confidence. His recent shot totals read: 2,2,3,5,1,2,3 across his last seven appearances.

Mallorca have conceded the third most shots in the league this season, making this a strong setup for Beltrán to register multiple attempts.

Tip 4: Samu Costa Over 2.5 Fouls Won vs Valencia - 0.75 pts

7/4 with bet365.

Costa has drawn the 18th most fouls in La Liga this season and has drawn 3+ fouls in 9 of his last 12 games and five of his last six.

Up against Valencia's third most active fouler, Pepelu, in the midfield he should continue to draw fouls today.