Arsenal vs Man United

Arsenal return to the Emirates on Sunday with their title charge firmly intact, even if recent league performances have lacked fluency. Consecutive 0-0 draws have slowed momentum, but dropped points elsewhere mean Mikel Arteta’s side still sit comfortably clear at the top. A strong midweek European win reinforced the sense that Arsenal remain one of the most controlled and defensively secure teams in the league, particularly on home soil where they are yet to be beaten this season.

Manchester United arrive with a little bit of their confidence restored after a statement derby win over Manchester City. Under Michael Carrick, United looked compact, disciplined and dangerous on the counter, with Bruno Fernandes pulling the strings and quick transitions making them look dangerous. That result has reignited belief, but this trip presents a very different challenge, as I said before, Arsenal at home are a tough one to crack.

United’s attacking output remains strong but its their away defending continues to be an issue, having conceded in every league road game this season. Arsenal’s ability to limit chances and dominate territory has troubled United repeatedly in recent meetings, especially at the Emirates.

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Macca's Arsenal vs Man United Bet Builder Tips

Macca's bet builder tip for Arsenal vs Man United features Mbeumo 1+ shot on target & Luke Shaw to be Carded.

At the time of publishing it is a best price of 23/4 with BetMGM.

Make sure to get the best odds on your Bet Builders with our exclusive Bet Builder Comparison Tool.

Bryan Mbeumo 1+ shot on target.

He returned from AFCON in the Manchester derby and looked sharp straight away, finishing with 2 shots on target against City despite United having very little of the ball. That counter attacking setup should suit him again at the Emirates.

The longer term data is strong too. He’s averaging around 1.55 shots on target per game and has landed at least one in 18 of his last 20 starts, while regularly playing close to a full 90 minutes.

This fixture hasn’t stopped him in the past either. In his last game against Arsenal, Mbeumo took 5 shots and put 2 of them on target, which is encouraging given the quality of Arsenal’s defence.

United are likely to play on the break again, with Fernandes feeding runners early, and Mbeumo should be one of the main outlets. At close to evens, one shot on target looks nice value.

Luke Shaw to be Carded

Shaw is averaging 1.32 fouls per 90 this season and has committed at least one foul in 13 consecutive games, showing how regularly he’s involved defensively. He was also carded in four of those games. He’s expected to start at left back again and that likely puts him directly up against Bukayo Saka for long spells. Saka is one of the most fouled players in the league, drawing 2.04 fouls per 90 and he forces full backs into repeated recovery challenges rather than one off duels.

That matchup is backed up by the broader data. Left backs facing Arsenal average around 1.8 fouls per game, which is a very high figure for a single position.