How does Positive Expected Value (EV) betting work?

When bookmakers set betting lines, they estimate the likelihood of each outcome.

Value Bets, our Positive EV Tool available for Oddschecker+ subscribers, leverages advanced AI to perform 100 million projections each week and monitors 125 million live price changes daily. This enables it to identify bets that have a higher probability of winning than what the lines suggest.

Wednesday's Results:

Brad Lyons – Over 0.5 Shots vs Rangers - 1pt - 1/1 - LOST
Motherwell – Win Market - 1pt - 21/20 - VOID
Connor McLennan – Over 0.5 Shots on Target vs Falkirk - 1pt - 23/20 - WON

Running P/L: +20.9 pts

Ethan Ampadu – Over 0.5 Shots - 1pt

1/1 with Bet365 (Super Sub)

60.85% AI probability | 47.62% Odds implied | 27.79% Expected Value

Ampadu has been getting into shooting positions from midfield, registering shots in 6 of his last 8 games, including against Arsenal - the side conceding the fewest shots in the league. Facing a Forest side that concede the 7th most shots, Ampadu looks well-placed to get at least one effort on goal.

Charlton vs Qpr

Nicolas Madsen – Over 1.5 Tackles - 1pt

4/5 with Bet365 (Super Sub)

52.07% AI probability | 50% Odds implied | 4.14% Expected Value

Madsen has exceeded 1.5 tackles in 7 of his last 10 games, consistently contributing defensively. A midfield battle with Docherty and Coady should provide plenty of opportunities for him to make key interventions.

4.5
Read Full Review

Paddy Power

  • Trusted parent company
  • Industry leader in promotions/marketing
  • Competitive pricing
Bet £5 Get £30 in Free Bets
Claim
New Customer offer - Use promo code YSKAST. Place a min £5 bet on the sportsbook at odds of min EVS (2.0) and get £30 in free bets. Free bet rewards valid for 30 days. Only deposits via Pay by Bank, Debit Cards & Apple Pay will qualify for this offer. T&Cs apply. Please Gamble Responsibly

Celta Vigo vs Osasuna

Enzo Boyomo – Over 1.5 Tackles - 1pt

5/6 with Quinn Bet

58.12% AI probability | 54.65% Odds implied | 6.36% Expected Value

Boyomo has been a solid midfield presence for Celta Vigo, exceeding 1.5 tackles in most of his recent games and managing three tackles in the last meeting between these sides. With Celta Vigo averaging the 7th most possession in the league, there should be plenty of chances for Boyomo to get stuck in.

Flavien Boyomo Tackles: 2, 2, 1, 1, 3, 4, 3, 1, 3, 3, 2, 3, 1.

Celta Vigo vs Osasuna

Ilaix Moriba – Over 1.5 Fouls - 1pt

5/4 with Paddy Power

51.25% AI probability | 46.51% Odds implied | 10.19% Expected Value

Moriba has a tendency to commit fouls in tight midfield battles, with multiple games registering 2+ fouls recently. Facing Oroz and Munoz - two of Osasuna’s most fouled players - he should have opportunities to land at least two fouls in this matchup.

Ilaix Moriba Fouls Committed: 4, 6, 2, 1, 2, 0, 2, 3, 2, 1, 0, 0, 0.