Wales vs Denmark: Best Bets, Odds & 11/1 Bet Builder Tip

Wales welcome Denmark to Cardiff City Stadium on Sunday night, with the visitors arriving full of confidence off the back of a dominant recent record in this fixture. Rasmus Højlund is the headline act for the Danes, in red-hot goalscoring form heading into the game, while Wales will be looking to their own attacking players to finally find a breakthrough against a defence that has been difficult to break down. Kick-off is at 19:45 BST.

Who is the Favourite to Win in Wales v Denmark?

Denmark go into the match as the clear betting favourites, priced around 6/5 to win, with the draw available at 12/5 and Wales out at 11/4.

Denmark's recent head-to-head dominance and overall squad depth explain the gap in the market. Based on current odds, their implied win probability sits comfortably above both the draw and a Wales victory, and the underlying stats behind tonight's picks back that assessment up.

Wales v Denmark Best Betting Tip

Best Bet: Rasmus Højlund - Anytime Goalscorer
Best odds: 7/4 (Skybet)
Stake: 1pt

Rasmus Højlund anytime goalscorer is the standout angle on this card. The Denmark striker has scored six goals in his last nine international appearances, a return that puts him among the most in-form forwards in this international break.

His underlying shot numbers support the volume behind that record. Højlund's shots on target across his last nine games for Denmark read 1, 0, 2, 1, 3, 0, 2, 1 and 2, while his total shots over the same run read 2, 2, 3, 2, 5, 3, 7, 1 and 5 - an average of 3.53 shots per 90 minutes.

With that level of shot volume and a scoring record to match, 7/4 for Højlund to find the net against a Wales defence he and Denmark have troubled repeatedly in this fixture looks a fair price.

Wales v Denmark Bet Builder Tip

Here's our Wales v Denmark Bet Builder Tip for tonight's game:

• Denmark - Win Market
• Yes - Both Teams To Score
• Rasmus Højlund Over 1.5 - Shots On Target
• Jordan James Over 1.5 - Fouls

Best odds: 11/1 (Paddy Power)

Denmark - Win Market

Denmark's recent record in this fixture makes the win market the obvious starting point for the builder. The Danes have won their last four meetings with Wales, and on balance remain the stronger side across the pitch heading into tonight's game.

With that head-to-head dominance and the broader quality gap between the two squads, backing Denmark to extend their winning run looks a reasonable foundation leg.

Yes - Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score has a strong recent pattern behind it from both sides. Wales have seen this market land in six of their last eight matches, while it has hit in two of their three games during this international break for Denmark.

Wales were also unlucky not to get on the scoresheet in the reverse fixture, registering two big chances and three shots on target without finding the net. With that kind of underlying chance creation already there, backing them to finally convert alongside a confident Denmark attack makes for a solid leg.

Rasmus Højlund Over 1.5 - Shots On Target

Højlund's shot volume makes this line a strong complement to the anytime goalscorer bet. His shots on target across his last nine Denmark appearances read 1, 0, 2, 1, 3, 0, 2, 1 and 2, with his total shots over the same run reading 2, 2, 3, 2, 5, 3, 7, 1 and 5.

That works out to an average of 3.53 shots per 90 minutes, giving him more than enough volume to clear 1.5 shots on target even on a quieter night in front of goal.

Jordan James Over 1.5 - Fouls

Jordan James rounds out the builder, with his recent disciplinary numbers suggesting he could pick up more than one foul against a direct Denmark side. His fouls committed across his last five appearances read 3, 0, 0, 1 and 2.

While that record is a little inconsistent, a three-foul outing in his most recent sample shows the ceiling is there, and a competitive Nations League tie against a stronger opponent is exactly the kind of game that can push his numbers back up.

Wales v Denmark Player Prop Bet

Best Bet: Ethan Ampadu - Player to be Carded
Best odds: 5/2 (Skybet)
Stake: 1pt

Ethan Ampadu to be shown a card is our player prop for tonight, with the Wales captain picking up a booking in his last outing. He has strong recent precedent to back up another against Denmark.

His fouls committed across his last eight starts read 1, 4, 2, 3, 1, 1, 1 and 3 - a pattern that has repeatedly put him in the referee's notebook over that run. As the man tasked with marshalling Wales's midfield against a confident Denmark side likely to dominate large spells of the game, Ampadu picking up another card at 5/2 looks a sensible way to round out the card.