Arsenal vs Leeds best bets, odds and a three leg bet builder for Saturday's 12:30 Premier League game at the Emirates, plus our score prediction and lineups.
Arsenal vs LeedsSee All Odds
Arsenal host Leeds on Saturday lunchtime as the Premier League returns from the international break. Mikel Arteta's side are second, three points behind Manchester City, but they were beaten 3-0 at Brighton last time out. Leeds are fifth and unbeaten in the league, with two wins and three draws, and they have conceded only three goals in five games. Arsenal have the better history. They have won every one of their last seven Premier League meetings, including a 5-0 win at the Emirates and a 4-0 win at Elland Road last season. Paul Tierney is the referee.
Arsenal vs Leeds Best Bets
Best bet: Arsenal to win to nil at 6/5
Arsenal have been very hard to break down this season. They have kept clean sheets in five of their eight games in all competitions, and the two league visitors to the Emirates, Coventry and Chelsea, managed just 0.20 and 0.39 xG. Teams visiting the Emirates have averaged 8.5 shots and three on target in the league, which is among the lowest in the division.
The head to head record backs it up. Leeds failed to score in either meeting last season, losing 5-0 in London and 4-0 at home, and Arsenal have kept a clean sheet in three of the last four meetings.
Leeds have scored in four of their five league games, so this is not a free hit, but they have only scored twice in two league away games. The 3-0 defeat at Brighton is the one blemish, and Arsenal conceded only three goals in their other seven matches combined. William Hill, BetVictor and 10bet all offer 6/5.
Who is the favourite to win Arsenal vs Leeds?
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Arsenal | 5/12 |
| Draw | 17/4 |
| Leeds | 42/5 |
Arsenal are 5/12 with Unibet, which implies a home win chance of about 70%. They have won both home league games so far, scoring five and conceding one, and they have won all four of their Premier League home games against Leeds. The draw is 17/4 with AK Bets, or 4/1 with bet365, Coral and Ladbrokes. Leeds are 42/5 with 10bet. Daniel Farke's side have not lost in the league, but three of their five games have been draws and they have won one of their two league away games.
Arsenal vs Leeds Bet Builder Tips
1. Declan Rice over 0.5 fouls committed
Rice starts in the middle of Arsenal's midfield. He has committed at least one foul in four of his seven appearances this season (57%), averaging 0.98 per 90, and he hit the same line in 14 of 27 games last season. He made two fouls against Coventry and Napoli and one against Chelsea and Brighton. Teams hosting Leeds this season have committed 14 fouls per game against a league average of 11.1.
2. Dominic Calvert-Lewin over 1.5 fouls committed
Calvert-Lewin starts up front alongside Noah Okafor. He has committed two or more fouls in four of his seven appearances this season (57%), averaging 2.16 per 90. He made three fouls at Brighton and two in each of the Brentford game and both matches against Forest. Teams visiting the Emirates have committed 14.5 fouls per game in the league against an average of 11.7. Calvert-Lewin will spend most of the afternoon battling Gabriel in the air and holding the ball up under pressure.
3. Riccardo Calafiori over 1.5 shots at evens
Calafiori starts at left back and plays a very attacking role for Arsenal. He has had two or more shots in three of his six appearances this season (50%), averaging 1.69 per 90. He had two shots against Manchester City, Chelsea and Brighton, and at least one in every game he has played. Teams hosting Leeds have averaged 16 shots per game against a league average of 14.9. With Leeds likely to sit deep in a back five, Calafiori should get chances to shoot from the edge of the box and at set pieces.
Arsenal vs Leeds Score Prediction
Arsenal 2-0 Leeds
Arsenal have scored at least twice in five of their eight games this season and they have a lot of attacking options, even without Kai Havertz. Viktor Gyökeres, Bukayo Saka and Eberechi Eze should all cause Leeds problems, and Saka has had at least two shots in all seven of his appearances.
Leeds are well organised and have only conceded three league goals, but they have not faced a side as strong as Arsenal yet. They are also without Daniel James and Joe Rodon, and Harry Wilson is a doubt.
A home win without Leeds scoring fits the data and the best bet. Arsenal 2-0 is 11/2 with bet365, BoyleSports and Betfred.
Arsenal vs Leeds Value Betting Tips
Arsenal vs Leeds Predicted Lineups
Arsenal: Raya; Timber, Hincapié, Gabriel, Calafiori; Rice, Guimarães; Saka, Ødegaard, Eze; Gyökeres
Leeds: Trafford; Justin, Muharemović, Elvedi; Bogle, Tanaka, Ampadu, Stach, Gudmundsson; Okafor, Calvert-Lewin
Arsenal are without William Saliba, who has a back injury, and Christos Tzolis, who hurt his hamstring with Greece. Kai Havertz is expected to miss out after picking up a muscle problem with Germany. Ezri Konsa left the England camp with a dead leg and is a doubt, so Piero Hincapié could come in at centre back. Declan Rice withdrew from the England squad to manage his workload and is expected to start. Ben White and Cristhian Mosquera are back in training. Leeds are without Joe Rodon and Daniel James, while Harry Wilson and Jean-Matteo Bahoya face late fitness checks.
