Man United take on Atletico Madrid on Tuesday night at the Metropolitano in Madrid.
Atleti vs Man USee All Odds
Atlético Madrid host Manchester United on matchday two of the Champions League league phase. Diego Simeone's side lost 2-1 at Liverpool in their opener, but they have won four in a row since, including a 2-1 derby win over Real Madrid and a late 2-1 win at Alavés on Saturday. United beat Sabah 4-0 on matchday one, but Michael Carrick's side are winless in four and were held 1-1 by ten man Tottenham at the weekend. United have never beaten Atlético in a competitive game, and they travel without Matthijs de Ligt, Patrick Dorgu and Benjamin Šeško.
Atlético Madrid vs Man United Best Bets
Best bet: Atlético Madrid to win at 19/20
Atlético are strong at the Metropolitano. They have won three of their four home games this season, beating Málaga 2-0, Osasuna 4-0 and Real Madrid 2-1, and they are unbeaten in their last five home matches in all competitions. Real Madrid managed just 0.30 xG there last month, and Osasuna only 0.48.
United's form is a worry. They have won just one of their last six games, against Sabah, and have lost to Hull, Manchester City and Brighton. They also drew with Everton, Fulham and Tottenham. Their defence is thin, with De Ligt and Dorgu out and Noussair Mazraoui a doubt.
Atlético have plenty of options from the bench as well, which won the game at Alavés. Julián Álvarez has had at least three shots in each of his last three appearances. Betfred and Betfair Sportsbook both offer 19/20.
Who Is the Favourite to Win Atlético Madrid vs Man United?
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Atlético Madrid | 19/20 |
| Draw | 3/1 |
| Man United | 29/10 |
Atlético are 19/20 with Betfred, Betfair Sportsbook and AK Bets, which implies a home win chance of just over 50%. The draw is 3/1 with Betfred, BetVictor and Betway. United are 29/10 with AK Bets, or 14/5 with bet365. Atlético have four straight wins and a full squad to choose from. United have won one of their last six and have conceded in seven of their eight games this season.
Atlético Madrid vs Man United Bet Builder Tips
Kobbie Mainoo over 1.5 tackles
Mainoo starts alongside Youri Tielemans at the base of United's midfield. He has made two or more tackles in four of his eight appearances this season (50%), averaging 2.19 per 90. He made five tackles against Tottenham, three against Ipswich and two in each of the Everton and Sabah games. Atlético have averaged 58.5% possession in their four home games, including 68% against Osasuna, so United's midfield should spend plenty of time without the ball. Referee Glenn Nyberg also averages 27.3 fouls per game against an average of 24.9, which suits a busy, physical midfield battle.
Bryan Mbeumo to score anytime
Mbeumo starts on the right of United's attacking three and is their best goal threat. He has scored in three of his eight appearances this season, against Hull, Everton and Tottenham, from 22 shots and nine on target. His 3.40 xG works out at 0.48 per 90, the highest of any United starter. He had 0.49 xG against Manchester City, 0.50 against Hull and 1.76 in the 5-2 win over Ipswich. Atlético have conceded four goals in four games at the Metropolitano, and Villarreal created 3.60 xG and six shots on target there in August. Mbeumo will be up against Alejandro Grimaldo, who gets forward a lot from left back, so there should be space in behind on the counter.
Marc Pubill to be shown a card
Pubill starts at right back for Atlético and has picked up three yellow cards in his seven appearances this season. He was booked at Liverpool, at Sevilla and in just 45 minutes of the Madrid derby. He commits 1.64 fouls per 90, with three each at Liverpool and Athletic Club. He faces Marcus Rashford, who has drawn eight fouls in 436 minutes this season (1.65 per 90) and likes to run at full backs from the left.
Atlético Madrid vs Man United Score Prediction
Atlético Madrid 2-1 Man United
Atlético have scored in eight of their nine games this season and have scored at least twice in seven of them. Álvarez has scored 17 goals in 26 Champions League appearances for the club, and Lee Kang-in and Álex Baena give them plenty of creativity.
United should still get on the scoresheet. They have scored in six of their eight games, and Atlético have conceded in six of their nine. Villarreal scored twice at the Metropolitano in August, and Real Madrid scored there too.
A home win with both teams scoring fits the season's pattern. Atlético 2-1 is 8/1 with bet365, QuinnBet, Sporting Index and Spreadex.
Atlético Madrid vs Man United Value Betting Tips
Atlético Madrid vs Man United Predicted Lineups
Atlético Madrid: Oblak; Pubill, Romero, Hancko, Grimaldo; Simeone, Llorente, Barrios, Baena; Lee, Álvarez
Man United: Lammens; Dalot, Yoro, Martínez, Shaw; Mainoo, Tielemans; Mbeumo, Fernandes, Rashford; Cunha
Atlético have no injuries, so Simeone has a full squad to choose from. Koke and Johnny Cardoso are pushing for a start in midfield, and Simeone could switch to a back three with Marcos Llorente at wing back. United are without Matthijs de Ligt, Patrick Dorgu, Benjamin Šeško, Manuel Ugarte and Tom Heaton. Noussair Mazraoui is a doubt after picking up a problem on international duty, so Luke Shaw should start at left back. Harry Maguire could come in for Leny Yoro at centre back.
