EV Eagle’s five best value bets for Saturday, covering the Premier League, the Championship and League Two.
Saturday’s football schedule is packed with betting opportunities, and Oddschecker’s EV Eagle has identified five selections across player shots, shots on target and anytime goalscorer markets.
The EV Eagle model compares its estimated probability of an outcome with the probability implied by bookmakers’ odds, highlighting selections where it believes the odds offer value.
Here are the five picks it has selected for Saturday, 24 October.
EV Eagle’s Best Value Bets for Saturday
| EV Eagle Betting Tips | Best Odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|
| Matt Grimes - Over 0.5 Shots | 1/1 | Paddy Power |
| Morgan Rogers - Anytime Goalscorer | 23/10 | Sporting Index |
| Thierno Barry - Over 0.5 Shots On Target | 10/11 | bet365 |
| Jack Moylan - Over 3.5 Shots | 11/10 | bet365 |
| Ollie Pearce - Anytime Goalscorer | 2/1 | Sky Bet |
TIP 1: Matt Grimes Over 0.5 Shots vs Fulham
Best odds of 1/1 with Paddy Power.
1pt advised stake
Matt Grimes has been a fairly consistent option to register a shot recently, making him an interesting selection to have at least one attempt on Saturday.
The midfielder has recorded a shot in four of his last six games, while his home record is even more encouraging, having cleared the line in three of his last four home appearances.
His shots this season read 0, 0, 1, 1, 1, 1 and 0. Although he has failed to register an attempt in three of those seven matches, he has found the target for this market in four of his last five appearances.
At evens, Grimes needs just one attempt to land the bet. His recent home numbers provide further encouragement, making this a selection worth considering.
TIP 2: Morgan Rogers Anytime Goalscorer
Best odds: 23/10 with Sporting Index.
1pt advised stake.
Morgan Rogers has already found the net four times this season and looks an appealing anytime goalscorer option given his recent attacking form.
The Aston Villa attacker has scored in six of his last nine games, while his record at home in the Premier League is particularly encouraging, having found the net in two of his three home appearances in the competition this season.
His shooting numbers also point towards a player who is regularly getting involved in attacking positions. Rogers has recorded 2, 2, 4, 2, 3, 3, 2 and 3 shots across his listed appearances this season, registering at least two attempts in all eight.
That consistent shooting volume gives him opportunities to add to his goal tally. At 23/10, Rogers is an interesting option for another goal, particularly if he continues to get into dangerous positions.
TIP 3: Thierno Barry Over 0.5 Shots on Target
Best odds: 10/11 with bet365.
1pt advised stake.
Thierno Barry has been producing encouraging numbers in front of goal and is backed to register at least one shot on target on Saturday.
The Everton forward has cleared the 0.5 shots-on-target line in six of his last seven games. His away form in the Premier League is even more impressive, having registered at least one shot on target in all three of Everton’s away matches this season.
Barry's underlying shooting numbers provide further support. His shots on target across all competitions this season read 3, 3, 1, 2, 1, 0, 2, 5 and 1.
He has therefore registered at least one shot on target in eight of those nine listed matches, with five on target in one particularly productive performance. He is also averaging 2.20 shots on target per 90 minutes this season.
With his recent consistency and strong away record, Barry looks an appealing option to test the opposition goalkeeper at least once.
TIP 4: Jack Moylan - Over 3.5 Shots
Best odds: 11/10 with bet365.
1pt advised stake.
Jack Moylan has been enjoying an excellent run of form and is backed to register at least four shots on Saturday.
The attacker has recorded four or more attempts in six of his last ten games, but his home record makes this selection particularly interesting. Moylan has cleared the line in each of his last four home appearances.
His shots this season read 3, 8, 4, 7, 1, 6, 4, 2, 6, 1 and 3. While there have been a few quieter performances, he has demonstrated the ability to produce high-volume shooting displays, including efforts of eight, seven and six shots.
Moylan's recent attacking form adds to the appeal, having scored three goals in his last four games. That run suggests he is getting into dangerous positions and contributing in the final third.
With four consecutive home games above this shots line, Moylan is an interesting option to continue his productive run in front of goal.
TIP 5: Ollie Pearce - Anytime Goalscorer
Best odds: 2/1 with Sky Bet.
1pt advised stake.
Ollie Pearce rounds off Saturday’s selections after producing an impressive goalscoring record on home soil.
The forward has scored in six of his last ten games and, more notably, has found the net in each of his last four home appearances. That consistent home scoring record makes the anytime goalscorer market an appealing option.
His shooting numbers also suggest he is regularly looking to threaten goal. Pearce's shots this season read 4, 2, 2, 4, 2, 2, 1, 2, 0, 2, 4 and 2, meaning he has registered at least two attempts in 11 of his 12 listed appearances.
His home shooting record is similarly encouraging, with attempts of 4, 2, 4, 2, 0, 4 and 2. He has managed two or more shots in six of those seven home games.
That regular volume of attempts, combined with goals in four consecutive home matches, gives Pearce a strong statistical case to find the net again.
At 2/1, he is an interesting option to round off the five selections.
