Koln have been a strange old side in recent weeks. They have performed well in patches of pretty much every game they’ve played since the Bundesliga’s resumption, and yet defensive lapses and missed penalties have cost them dearly – so much so that they’re winless in this period, but not without encouragement.

They are however, barring an absolute catastrophe, safe from relegation, unlike Augsburg, who are just four points above the relegation play-off.

Their results have been somewhat mixed in recent weeks, but I still have serious doubts about them in a goalscoring sense, and two consecutive games without goals—against Hertha and Paderborn—will be a concern for Heiko Herrlich, particularly because top-scorer Florian Niederlechner’s goals have dried up.

Augsburg have looked well organised at times, but unlike Leipzig and Hoffenheim, I don’t believe they’re well equipped to punish Koln’s defensive frailties.

Koln top scorer Jhon Cordoba is an injury doubt, and yet against Leipzig in their last game, while he was injured, Markus Gisdol’s men still created plenty of chances, with deputy Anthony Modeste scoring in his absence.

7/5 for an away win looks a tempting price, as while Koln’s results haven’t been stellar, they’ve shown enough glimpses of quality to convince me that if they string together a performance for 90 minutes, they’ll win this game.

Koln - 1.5pts @ 7/5

Speaking of Anthony Modeste, I believe he’s a great price at 13/5 to score in Cordoba’s likely absence.

Koln’s problem has not been scoring goals. It’s not often you score seven goals in four games and earn just two points, which shows just where Gisdol’s men have suffered.

Therefore, I’m a little surprised that Modeste is as long as he is to find the net, particularly because he looked like such a handful against a very strong Leipzig side on Monday.

This is definitely one of interest.

Modeste AGS - 1pt @ 13/5