Bayern Munich vs PSG

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Tuesday's Results:

Koke - To Be Shown a Card - 1pt - WON (23/10)
Matteo Ruggeri - To Be Shown a Card - 1pt - LOST 
Card Double - 0.25pts

2025/26 Season P+L: +23.62pts

PSG vs Bayern Munich Bet Builder Tip (0.25pts)

Michael Olise - Over 3.5 Shots
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia - To Score/Assist
Fabian Ruiz - To Be Shown a Card

Michael Olise Over 3.5 Shots (1pt)

Best odds of 26/25 with BetMGM when publishing.

Olise’s shot line is aggressive but well supported by the game state, with Bayern chasing the tie and PSG having allowed 52 touches in their own box to Bayern in the first leg.

He averages 3.42 shots per Champions League match this season, with 41 attempts in 12 appearances, so he is already operating very close to this line before accounting for Bayern’s must-attack situation.

Given his right-sided role, set-piece involvement and Bayern’s need to apply sustained pressure, Olise should be one of the main volume shooters for the hosts.

Khvicha Kvaratskhelia to Score or Assist (1pt)

Best odds of 23/20 with QuinnBet when publishing.

Kvaratskhelia is the standout PSG goal-involvement pick after scoring twice in the first leg and taking his Champions League campaign to 10 goals and five assists in 14 matches.

With Bayern expected to push high and PSG not likely to simply sit back, Kvaratskhelia’s one-v-one threat and counter-attacking role make a goal or assist very realistic.

Michael Olise Anytime Goalscorer (1pt)

Best odds of 6/4 with SpreadEx/Sporting Index.

Olise is a strong Bayern scorer option after netting in the first leg and then scoring a stoppage-time goal against Heidenheim at the weekend.

His European output is excellent, with five goals and eight assists in 12 Champions League matches, while Bayern’s front three of Kane, Olise and Diaz have all reached 10+ Champions League goal involvements this season.

Bayern need at least one goal to keep the tie alive and two to qualify without extra time, so Olise should have licence to attack from the right from the start.

Ousmane Dembele Anytime Goalscorer (0.75pts)

Best odds of 15/8 with betway when publishing.

Dembele has the form and match script for an anytime goalscorer bet after scoring twice in the first leg, including PSG’s fifth goal in the 5-4 win.

He has six goals from 11 Champions League appearances this season, averaging 2.73 attempts per game, so he is consistently getting into scoring positions.

With Bayern needing to chase the tie, PSG should get transition opportunities, and Dembele’s pace through the middle makes him the obvious player to punish space behind the hosts’ back line.

Fabian Ruiz to Be Shown a Card (0.75pts)

Best odds of 7/2 with 10Bet when publishing.

Fabian Ruiz is a live card angle in a second leg where PSG are protecting a 5-4 aggregate lead and Bayern have to force the issue at the Allianz Arena.

Ruiz has already been booked once in this Champions League campaign (against Bayern last week) and has committed eight fouls in 479 minutes, including three in the defensive third, which points to the kind of tactical-foul profile needed in a high-transition game.

With Bayern expected to start Olise, Musiala, Diaz and Kane, Ruiz should be asked to cover a lot of central space against a side that have scored 20 goals in five Champions League knockout games this season.