Man City vs PSGSee All Odds

City have won every home game this season and arrive after a 3-0 win at Liverpool on Sunday, which followed a 2-0 victory at Porto in their Champions League opener. PSG have had an uneven start, losing 1-2 at home to Monaco and drawing 2-2 with Lille before beating Slovan Bratislava 6-1 in the Champions League, and they have failed to win any of their previous four visits to Manchester. 

Who is the Favourite to Win in Man City v PSG?

City go into the game as narrow favourites, priced at 23/20 to win with William Hill, while PSG are 19/10 and the draw is available at 29/10 with Ladbrokes.

The prices reflect City's form and home record, including three straight home wins against PSG in the Champions League, but PSG's quality in attack and their record against English clubs mean the market does not leave much between the two sides.

Man City v PSG Best Betting Tip

Best Bet: Total Goals - Over 3.5
Best odds: 11/10 (AK Bets)
Stake: 1pt

Over 3.5 goals is the standout angle on this card because both sides have been involved in high-scoring games. PSG's last five matches have produced 18 goals, an average of 3.6 per game, and both teams to score has landed in six of their last seven games, while City's six Premier League games this season have produced 21 goals, an average of 3.5.

City have also scored first in each of their last seven games, which means they have been able to dictate the early stages, and PSG's attacking quality should ensure that the visitors respond. Both teams to score has landed in two of the last three meetings between the sides, and with Ousmane Dembele and Nuno Mendes returning from a rest, PSG are expected to be at close to full strength.

Over 3.5
Man City v PSG [Total Goals Over/Under]
1/1

Man City v PSG Bet Builder Tip

Here's our Man City v PSG Bet Builder Tip for Wednesday's game:

  • Yes - Both Teams To Score
  • Erling Haaland Over 1.5 - Shots On Target
  • Khvicha Kvaratskhelia Over 1.5 - Shots On Target
  • Enzo Fernandez Over 1.5 - Fouls

Best odds of 12/1 at bet365 while publishing.

Both teams to score has cleared in six of PSG's last seven games, which shows how regularly their opponents are finding a way past the defence. City have scored first in each of their last seven games, and with PSG's attack capable of hurting any team, a visit to the Etihad that features goals at both ends looks the most likely outcome.

The trend also holds in this fixture, with both teams to score landing in two of the last three head-to-head meetings.

Haaland's shots on target this season read 1, 1, 1, 4, 3, 3, 2 and 1, which means he has cleared this line in four of eight games, and he also cleared it the last time City faced PSG. He scored twice in the opener at Porto and he has been a constant threat in front of goal in the Premier League.

PSG's start to the season has been uneven, and the fact that they have conceded in six of their last seven games suggests there are defensive gaps for a striker of Haaland's quality to exploit.

Kvaratskhelia's shots on target this season read 1, 2, 2, 2 and 1, so he has reached two in three of his last five games, and he is an extremely dangerous player in front of goal who can clear this line quickly. PSG are likely to look for him on the counter-attack, where his pace is hard to contain.

Matheus Nunes is likely to start at right-back for City and will find it difficult to deal with Kvaratskhelia's speed, particularly if City commit numbers forward at home.

Fernandez's fouls committed this season read 0, 2, 4, 3 and 0, which means he has cleared this line in three of his five games. He is likely to have plenty of defensive work in a City midfield that will face Vitinha, Joao Neves and Fabian Ruiz.

PSG's fouls won in their last six games read 17, 9, 13, 6, 11 and 11, an average of more than 11 per game, and Fernandez is well placed to be one of the players who stops them breaking quickly.

Man City v PSG Player Card Tip

Best Bet: Josko Gvardiol - Player to be Carded
Best odds: 13/2 (10bet)
Stake: 1pt

Gvardiol has been booked in three of his last seven starts, even though his fouls committed across those games read 0, 0, 1, 1, 2, 0 and 2, which is only six fouls in total. That means he has been cautioned almost every time he has been forced into a challenge, and he faces a very different test on Wednesday.

PSG have perhaps the most dangerous and fastest attack in the world, and Gvardiol will be asked to defend one-on-one against players who are quick enough to leave him with little choice but to stop them by whatever means. With Dembele and Mendes returning, that pressure should be at its highest, which makes 13/2 a fair price for a card.

Josko Gvardiol
Man City v PSG [To Be Shown A Card]
13/2