The Champions League is back this week and it promises some exciting action beyond just the goals. Bayern Munich take on Atalanta in the second leg of their last-16 tie, Tottenham head to Atletico Madrid, and Liverpool welcome Galatasaray to Anfield. These games are set to be intense and tactical, with a few players likely to pick up a card along the way, which could influence the outcome.

With Bayern’s attack firing on all cylinders, Atletico’s solid defence, and Liverpool pressing like there is no tomorrow, the card markets are looking very interesting. Let’s take a closer look at three players who could find themselves in the referee’s notebook.

Bayern Munich v Atalanta

Leg 1 – Lorenzo Bernasconi: To Be Shown A Card

Lorenzo Bernasconi has been shown a card in 2 of his last 4 away games, and with Bayern’s dangerous wingers Karl and Diaz probing every gap, the 21-year-old could be under pressure. AI models put the probability at 21%, slightly higher than the implied 13%, offering an expected value of 65%. With Atalanta chasing a tough deficit, Bernasconi may need to commit tactical fouls to slow down Bayern’s relentless attack. Expect him to be busy in both defensive duels and tracking back, increasing his likelihood of a booking.

Tottenham v Atletico Madrid

Leg 2 – Cristian Romero: To Be Shown A Card

Cristian Romero is a disciplined yet combative presence for Tottenham, having received a card in 3 of his last 7 matches. Returning from a four-game suspension following a red card, Romero has committed 1.61 fouls per 90 minutes this season. Atletico’s robust midfield and aggressive style mean Romero will likely be tested repeatedly, and with the high-stakes nature of a Champions League knockout, expect a few cards in this contest. The AI probability for him to be booked is elevated, reflecting his aggressive role and Atletico’s relentless pressing.

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Liverpool v Galatasaray

Leg 3 – Mario Lemina: To Be Shown A Card

Mario Lemina has seen two bookings in his last four matches, and his disciplinary record shows fluctuating foul counts in recent starts: 1, 3, 0, 1, 0. Against a high-tempo Liverpool side, Lemina will be required to break up attacks and shield the backline, increasing the likelihood of fouls and bookings. The AI suggests he is a decent candidate for a card, particularly as Liverpool push forward aggressively and test Galatasaray’s defensive shape throughout the match.

Best odds of 60/1 available at 10bet at the time of publishing. As low as 46/1 at bet365 and 40/1 at AK Bets.