Tuesday night sees a mammoth game in the EFL Championship between Southampton and Ipswich. Matthew O’Regan is on hand with a 18/1 bet builder.
Southampton vs Ipswich
Shea Charles To Be Booked
With Flynn Downes given a retrospective three match ban for a challenge against Swansea, Shea Charles is expected to slot in next to Casper Jander in the heart of the Saints midfield. The Northern Irish international has started 19 league games this season, being shown six cards in the process – four less than last seasons tally of ten. This campaign 35 centre midfielders have been booked against Ipswich – including Charles in the reverse fixture.
Darnell Furlong To Be Booked
Despite Kieran McKenna’s tendency to rotate his side, Darnell Furlong has been a near mainstay in the team – starting games this season. The right-back provides defensive balance and allows maurauding wing back Leif Davis to showcase his creativity going forward.
The 30-year-old will be crucial in stopping live-wire Leo Scienza who is averaging a whooping 3.62 fouls won per 90 this campaign. The Brazilian has seen his direct opponent booked in 9/28 this campaign, while Furlong has been cautioned ten times this campaign. He is also entrusted with long throws, so some late time-wasting may be on the cards should the result be in Ipswich’s favour.
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Over 4.5 Cards
Overseeing the encounter is Thomas Kirk. He is averaging 4.6 cards per game – a total that is surely exceeded with the magnitude of the game. The two sides are no strangers to cards either – Ipswich games are averaging just shy of 4.5 cards per game, while The Saints see 4.02 cards per game. Away from home, Ipswich’s total goes up (5 per game).
With so much on the line, it would be no surprise to see a late flurry of cards – as shown in the game at Portman Road vs Middlesbrough where there were six second half yellows.
Leo Scienza Over 2.5 Shots
Southampton have to win to stand any chance of automatic promotion. A victory puts them in fourth place, just one point behind Kieran Mckenna’s side heading into the final day. If they are to emerge victorious, Scienza will be crucial. The 27-year-old has 17 goal contributions in 28 games and is averaging 3.10 shots per 90.
With Ipswich conceding over 11 shots per away game, Scienza is well priced to have at least three of these.
The bet builder is a best price of 18/1 when publishing, and as short as 10/1 elsewhere.
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