Birmingham host Derby County in a Championship encounter at St. Andrew’s, with both sides targeting a crucial festive-period victory to climb the table.
| Tournament: | Championship |
|---|---|
| Venue: | St. Andrew’s, Birmingham |
| Date: | 26.12.2025 |
| Time: | 12:30 GMT |
Birmingham vs Derby Form and Head to Head
Birmingham suffered a 3-0 defeat away to Sheff Utd in their last match. Prior to that, the Blues drew 1-1 at home against Charlton. Despite their recent loss, the hosts have a decent home record, as evidenced by their sixth-place standing in the home form table, having won six, drawn three, and lost just one of their ten home games this season. However, their recent home form is less impressive, ranking 22nd in the form table for the last six home games.
Derby drew their last match 1-1 at home against Portsmouth. Before that, the Rams secured an impressive 3-0 away victory against Sheff Wed. The visitors have been strong on the road this season, sitting third in the away standings, having won five, drawn two, and lost three of their ten away games. They have also picked up good form recently, ranking first in the away form table over the last six away games.
There have been over 2.5 goals scored in 8 of Birmingham's last 10 games in the Championship. The last meeting between these two teams ended in a 2-2 draw at Derby's home ground in January 2022. Looking at the last six encounters, Derby have won three times, Birmingham twice, and one match ended in a draw.
Birmingham have scored at least 2 goals in their last 3 matches against Derby in all competitions. Birmingham vs Derby has seen over 2.5 goals in 8 of their last 9 matches in all competitions.
Who is the betting favourite in Birmingham vs Derby?
According to latest odds, Birmingham are the betting favourites to beat Derby at St Andrew’s. Current prices imply roughly a 53% chance of a home win, with Derby clear underdogs at 21%.
| Match Result | Best Odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|
| Birmingham | 22/25 | BetMGM |
| Derby | 15/4 | 10bet |
| Draw | 13/5 | AK Bets |
Odds last updated at 11AM Thursday, 26th December.
Birmingham vs Derby Team News
Birmingham will be without Laird, Buchanan, Wright, Beadle and Cochrane due to injury. Osayi-Samuel is unavailable due to international duty, and Doyle is suspended. The absence of Doyle, following his red card against Sheffield United, will force a change in midfield.
Derby will be missing Morris, Ozoh and Beck through injury. Travis and Johnston are unfit, and Sanderson is ineligible to play against his parent club. Nelson is likely to replace Sanderson in the starting lineup.
Birmingham vs Derby Confirmed Lineups
Birmingham (4-2-3-1): Beadle; Robinson, Neumann, Klarer, Iwata; Seung-Ho, Leonard; Gray, Stansfield, Roberts; Ducksch
Derby (3-4-2-1): Zetterström; Batth, Langås, Clarke; Elder, Clark, Thompson, Ward; Brewster, Brereton; Agyemang
Lineups powered by WhoScored.
Birmingham vs Derby Match Prediction
Birmingham's home form is reasonably strong, but they have defensive weaknesses, particularly against skillful players. Derby, while struggling to maintain possession, boast a strong finishing ability and win a lot of aerial duels. A draw seems a likely outcome, with Derby's attacking prowess potentially cancelling out Birmingham's home advantage. The statistical forecast also suggests that Birmingham will dominate possession. The predicted score is 1-1.
Prediction: Birmingham 1-1 Derby
Birmingham vs Derby Player Stat Trends
Our EV Eagle has picked out five trending player stats for Birmingham vs Derby.
Find 100s more player stat trends in our Trends Tool, available to Oddschecker+ Premium subscribers.
Matt Clarke has exceeded 1.5 Tackles in 7 of their last 8 games.
Best odds of 8/11 at bet365 while publishing.
Patrick Agyemang has exceeded 0.5 Shots On Target in all 5 of their last 5 games.
Best odds of 5/6 at bet365 while publishing.
Lewis Travis has exceeded 2.5 Tackles in 7 of their last 10 games.
Best odds of 4/5 at bet365 while publishing.
Tomoki Iwata has exceeded 1.5 Shots in 6 of their last 7 games.
Best odds of 23/20 at William Hill while publishing.
Curtis Nelson has exceeded 0.5 Shots in 5 of their last 5 games.
Best odds of 23/20 at Betway while publishing.
Birmingham vs Derby Bet Builder Tip
Our Birmingham vs Derby Bet Builder Tip includes:
Birmingham to win
Over 2.5 total goals
Both teams to score
P. Agyemang over 0.5 shots on target.
Best odds of 27/5 available at BetMGM UK while publishing.
Make sure to get the best odds on your Bet Builders with our exclusive Bet Builder Comparison Tool.
