Tournament: EFL League League
Venue: Emirates Stadium, London
Date: 02.03.2026
Time: 20:00 GMT

Arsenal vs Chelsea Form and Head to Head

Arsenal head into this crucial clash in confident form, having won four of their last six matches across all competitions, drawing once and losing just once. Their most recent outing was an emphatic 4-0 win away at Leeds in the Premier League. Before that, they enjoyed a thrilling 3-2 home victory over Kairat Almaty in the Champions League, despite a 2-3 setback at home to Manchester United.

Other recent results include a solid 3-1 away win at Inter in the Champions League and a hard-fought 0-0 draw with Nottingham Forest in the Premier League. Of course, their 3-2 first-leg win over Chelsea in this semi-final adds extra confidence going into tonight’s encounter.

Chelsea have also been in excellent form, winning five of their last six games across all competitions, with their only defeat coming at the hands of Arsenal in the first leg. That run features narrow 3-2 wins over West Ham and Napoli, as well as 3-1 and 2-0 league victories against Crystal Palace and Brentford. They also beat Pafos FC 1-0 at home in the Champions League before falling to the Gunners.

The first leg at Stamford Bridge was a thrilling encounter, ending 3-2 in Arsenal’s favor. Looking at their recent history, Arsenal have enjoyed the upper hand over Chelsea, going unbeaten in their last six meetings with three wins and three draws.

Arsenal have also been particularly strong at home against their London rivals, winning each of their last four encounters at the Emirates and leading at both half-time and full-time in all of those games.

Who is the betting favourite in Arsenal vs Chelsea?

According to the latest odds, Arsenal are the favourites to beat Chelsea in the EFL League Cup semi-final second leg, with an implied win probability of around 61%, while Chelsea's chances sit at 21%.

Match Result Best Odds Bookmaker
Arsenal 8/11 PricedUp
Chelsea 19/5 BetMGM
Draw 16/5 Betfred

Odds last updated at 2PM Tuesday, 3rd February.

Arsenal vs Chelsea Team News

Arsenal will be without Max Dowman due to injury, while Mikel Merino is sidelined with a foot issue. Bukayo Saka remains a doubt, which could allow Noni Madueke to continue on the right flank alongside Martin Ødegaard, Gabriel Martinelli, and Viktor Gyökeres in attack. Martin Zubimendi and Declan Rice are expected to start in midfield, with the defence likely unchanged following the win over Leeds.

Chelsea have a lengthy injury list, with Levi Colwill, Tosin Adarabioyo, Dario Essugo, Romeo Lavia, and Jamie Gittens all unlikely to feature. Wesley Fofana, Marc Cucurella, João Pedro, and Reece James made positive impacts from the bench against West Ham and are pushing for starting roles, which could prompt changes to the XI. Mykhailo Mudryk remains unavailable.

Arsenal vs Chelsea Predicted Lineups

Arsenal (4-3-3): Arrizabalaga; Timber, Saliba, Gabriel, Hincapié; Zubimendi, Rice, Ødegaard; Madueke, Gyökeres, Martinelli.

Chelsea (4-2-3-1): Sánchez; James, Chalobah, Fofana, Cucurella; Caicedo, Fernández; Neto, Palmer, João Pedro; Delap.

Lineups powered by WhoScored.

Arsenal vs Chelsea Match Prediction

Arsenal hold a narrow 3-2 advantage heading into the second leg at the Emirates after their win at Stamford Bridge, and their overall form remains highly consistent. Arteta’s side responded to a brief dip with an emphatic victory over Leeds and are typically reliable on home turf. Their threat from set pieces and moments of individual quality is supported by a resilient defensive unit.

Chelsea arrive with confidence following a string of wins, but their recent struggles against Arsenal—particularly away from home—are hard to ignore. While they pose a threat from dead-ball situations and in open play, vulnerabilities down the flanks could be exposed by Arsenal’s wide attackers.

Arsenal appear well-positioned to see the tie through, with a 2-1 victory on the night sealing a 5-3 aggregate win.

Prediction: Arsenal 2-1 Chelsea

Arsenal vs Chelsea Player Stat Trend

Our EV Eagle has picked out four trending player stats for Arsenal vs Chelsea.

Find 100s more player stat trends in our Trends Tool, available to Oddschecker+ Premium subscribers.

Marc Cucurella has been carded in 3 of their last 3 apps in League Cup.
Best odds of 9/4 at 10bet.

Enzo Fernandez has scored or assisted in 4 of his last 5 apps.
Best odds of 3/1 at Paddy Power while publishing.

Jurriën Timber has committed 2+ fouls in 5 of their last 5 apps in Premier League.
Best odds of 29/20 at Ladbrokes while publishing.

Declan Rice has exceeded 1.5 Tackles in 4 of their last 5 games.
Best odds of 8/11 at bet365 while publishing.

Arsenal vs Chelsea Bet Builder Tip

Our Bet Builder Tip for Arsenal v Chelsea includes Jurrien Timber Over 1.5 Tackles; Marc Cucurella Over 1.5 Fouls; Moises Caicedo To Be Shown A Card; Joao Pedro Over 0.5 Shots On Target.

Best odds of 10/1 available at bet365 while publishing.

Make sure to get the best odds on your Bet Builders with our exclusive Bet Builder Comparison Tool.