Read our Burnley vs Derby prediction with key betting tips, projected lineups, and the latest odds as both sides battle for crucial Championship points.
Burnley vs Derby Match Summary
Competition | English Championship |
|---|---|
Match Date | Saturday 19 September 2026 |
Match Time | 15:00 UK time |
Venue (City, Stadium) | Turf Moor, Burnley |
A bottom-of-the-table scrap kicks off the weekend at Turf Moor, with Burnley vs Derby the last outing for both sides before the September international break.
Burnley sit bottom of the Championship and winless heading into gameweek eight, having overhauled the squad with 12 summer signings before this fixture. Nicky Hayen is under pressure to spark them.
Derby are no better off, arriving on the back of three straight league defeats after a 2-1 home loss to Birmingham City. The Rams badly need something before the break.
History leans one way here. Burnley have kept a clean sheet in 5 of their last 6 matches against Derby in the Championship, and Derby have failed to score in 5 of those 6.
Burnley vs Derby Form
Grim reading for the Clarets. Burnley have failed to win their last 7 matches in the Championship and sit rock bottom of the table. Goals have not been the issue for entertainment, mind, with over 2.5 goals landing in 10 of their last 12 league games. Both teams have found the net in each of Burnley's last 7 Championship outings. Jamie Vardy could lead the line, but this is a stubborn attacking record wrapped in a leaky one.
Derby are just as messy. The Rams have lost 4 of their last 5 Championship fixtures, including three on the spin. They have conceded at least 2 goals across 8 of their last 10 league outings, with over 2.5 goals landing at a similar clip. Szmodics and Clark carry the attacking hope, but a side shipping goals this freely is walking a tightrope.
Burnley vs Derby Lineups & Team News
Injuries & Suspensions
Burnley: E. Agyei (Injured/out), J. Beyer (Injured/out), J. Cullen (Injured/out), J. Banel (Injured/out), B. Humphreys (Injured/out), A. Barnes (Injured/out), D. Satpaev (Injured/out), H. Mejbri (Injured/out), J. B. Larsen (Injured/doubtful)
Derby: P. Agyemang (Injured/out), D. J. Murkin (Injured/out), M. Clarke (Injured/out), F. Bilbija (Injured/out), C. Forsyth (Injured/out), L. Travis (Injured/out), J. W. Zetterström (Injured/out), H. Meister (Injured/doubtful), R. Brewster (Injured/doubtful)
Burnley
Jacob Bruun Larsen failed a late fitness test against Swansea and is doubtful for the visit of Derby. Jamie Vardy could make his full league debut up top, while Lucas Pires and Reo Hatate are also in contention for starts. Anel Ahmedhodzic is looking to shake off illness to start.
Derby
Henrik Meister is a doubt due to the concussion protocol, but Rhian Brewster is expected back on Saturday. Goalkeeper Jacob Widell Zetterstrom could miss up to two months with a knee injury, leaving Jacob Vickers in line to keep goal.
Burnley vs Derby Predicted Lineup
Burnley
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Predicted Starting Lineup: Weiss; Pires, Julio, Walker, Sonne; Alleyne, Raghouber; Ramazani, Hatate, Amdouni; Vardy
Derby
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Predicted Starting Lineup: Vickers; Taylor, Cashin, Langås, Ward; Ozoh, Mowatt; Clark, Szmodics, Fuseini; Morris
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Burnley vs Derby Key Stats & Match Facts
Burnley are undefeated in their last 15 matches against Derby in all competitions.
Burnley have kept a clean sheet in 5 of their last 6 matches vs Derby in the Championship.
Both teams have scored in 7 of Burnley's last 7 matches in the Championship.
Derby have conceded at least 2 goals in 8 of their last 10 matches in the Championship.
Derby have received 2+ cards in 3 of their last 3 matches vs Burnley in the Championship.
Burnley vs Derby Prediction & Best Bets
Our prediction: Two struggling sides, but Burnley are favourites at home and the numbers back it. Our prediction is a 2-1 Burnley win, with Derby's leaky defence and three-game losing run the difference. Burnley are 17/20 with Spreadex to take the points, while a Derby win is out at 16/5 with Bet365. Both teams have found the net in each of Burnley's last seven Championship outings, so goals at both ends look on the cards. This Burnley vs Derby prediction leans home, but not by much.
Best Bets
Bobby Clark to record over 1.5 shots in the Player Shots market. Clark is central to how Derby attack, and with the Rams relying heavily on their left flank he should get plenty of sight of goal. He carries a strong probability of clearing that mark given Derby's left-sided approach and his prominent role in their attacking play.
Sondre Langas to be carded in the To Be Shown A Card market. Langas is Derby's nailed-on centre-back and faces a Burnley side who love to attack through the middle with through balls. With Derby aggressive and shaky at the back, the odds of him picking up a booking under that pressure look well worth backing.
Burnley vs Derby Bet Builder
A four-leg Burnley vs Derby bet builder that leans on the hosts: Burnley to win, both teams to score, Aaron Ramsey over 1.5 shots and Mohammed Fuseini to be shown a card.
Burnley to win is the anchor. Derby have lost 4 of their last 5 in the Championship, and the hosts are clear favourites at home for this one.
Both teams to score makes plenty of sense. Both sides have found the net in each of Burnley's last 7 league games, and Derby keep shipping at the other end too.
Aaron Ramsey over 1.5 shots is next. Ramsey has attempted 2+ shots in 6 of his last 7 Championship appearances, so he is a regular threat from range.
Mohammed Fuseini to be carded rounds it off. He has been booked in 2 of his last 3 Championship outings, and Derby tend to rack up cards against Burnley.
At the time of writing, this bet builder pays a best price of 20/1 and is as short as 31/2 elsewhere.
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Bet builder odds correct at time of publishing.
Burnley vs Derby Talking Points
This has the feel of a genuine six-pointer at the wrong end of the table. Nicky Hayen has called it a "must-win game" and admitted he understands the fans' frustration after a rotten start, while John Eustace has urged his Derby players to "roll our sleeves up and face the challenge ahead" before the three-week break. Both squads are freshly rebuilt, with Burnley integrating 12 summer signings and adding veteran striker Jamie Vardy on a free to give the front line some leadership. Add in a Burnley side undefeated in their last 15 against Derby in all competitions, and the away camp will know exactly how tall the order is.
Burnley vs Derby Predictions FAQs
When is the Burnley vs Derby English Championship game?
Burnley vs Derby takes place on Saturday, 19 September 2026, kicking off at 15:00 UK time.
Where is Burnley vs Derby being played?
The match is being played at Turf Moor in Burnley.
What competition is Burnley vs Derby in?
Burnley vs Derby is an English Championship fixture.
What is the predicted score for Burnley vs Derby?
Our prediction for Burnley vs Derby is a 2-1 home win for Burnley.
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