Grimsby vs Northampton predictions, probable lineups and betting odds. Compare the prices, explore bet builder ideas and best bets ahead of kick-off.
Grimsby vs Northampton Match Summary
Competition | English League Two |
|---|---|
Match Date | Saturday 17 October 2026 |
Match Time | 15:00 UK time |
Venue (City, Stadium) | Blundell Park |
Grimsby vs Northampton at Blundell Park brings together two sides in need of a lift, and the League Two table suggests the hosts should have far more about them.
David Artell's Grimsby have lost their last three League Two matches, all by a single goal, yet the Grimsby vs Northampton betting odds still make them 4/5 favourites with Betfred.
Chris Hogg's Northampton arrive 23rd. They are winless in four in all competitions and let victory slip at York City last time out, Ollie Pearce salvaging a point.
Grimsby have won only one of the previous meetings between these clubs. Northampton have won twice, with the rest drawn, so the hosts cannot lean on history here.
Grimsby vs Northampton Form
Grimsby have lost their last three League Two matches, the latest a narrow defeat at Port Vale, and every one of those came by a single goal. Charles Vernam is the man to watch, having been on target with at least one shot in each of his last five League Two outings. The approach is fine. The finishing is the problem.
Northampton's outings have been low on goals, with under 2.5 goals in each of their last 9 League Two games. That is a stubborn side rather than a dangerous one. Joe Wormleighton sets the tone on the right, racking up three or more tackles in five straight League Two appearances, but the goals have to come from somewhere.
Grimsby vs Northampton Lineups & Team News
Injuries & Suspensions
Grimsby: J. Andrews (Injured/out), R. Staunton (Injured/out), D. Tharme (Injured/out), M. Shelton (Injured/out)
Northampton: L. Shaw (Injured/out), J. Burroughs (Injured/out), J. Perkins (Injured/out), J. Maxwell (Injured/doubtful), J. Donacien (Injured/doubtful)
Grimsby
The big call in the Grimsby vs Northampton lineups is whether David Artell brings Iwan Morgan in to add some attacking firepower, and he features in the probable XI. Reece Staunton is among four confirmed absentees in the home camp, alongside J. Andrews, D. Tharme and M. Shelton.
Northampton
Northampton expect James Maxwell and Janoi Donacien to be available despite both picking up knocks against York City. L. Shaw, J. Burroughs and J. Perkins are out of contention, while Tyrese Fornah could be recalled by Chris Hogg in the engine room.
Grimsby vs Northampton Predicted Lineup
Grimsby
Formation: 4-1-4-1 (probable)
Predicted Starting Lineup: Probable XI: C. Pym, J. Sweeney, M. Kacurri, C. McJannet, H. Rodgers, G. Turi, C. Vernam, F. Cartwright, K. Green, I. Morgan, A. Cook
Northampton
Formation: 4-4-2 (probable)
Predicted Starting Lineup: Probable XI: Z. Jeacock; J. Maxwell, J. Guthrie, E. Moore, J. Donacien; J. O'Brien-Whitmarsh, T. Fornah, C. Lemonheigh-Evans, J. Wormleighton; O. Dale, M. Warhurst
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Grimsby vs Northampton Key Stats & Match Facts
There have been 10+ shots on target in 3 of the last 3 meetings between Grimsby and Northampton (League Two).
There have been 27+ shots taken in 3 of the last 4 meetings between Grimsby and Northampton (League Two).
Grimsby have had 7+ corners in 7 of their last 9 matches (League Two).
Jayden Sweeney has committed 2+ fouls in 5 of his last 6 apps (League Two).
Connor Lemonheigh-Evans has made 3+ tackles in 3 of his last 5 apps vs Grimsby (League Two).
Grimsby vs Northampton Prediction & Best Bets
Our prediction: Grimsby to edge it, and to do so without a shootout. The hosts are projected to score 1.56 goals. Northampton are put at just 0.9, which fits a visiting attack that has offered very little. Grimsby's price has shortened since the market opened while Northampton's has drifted, and that move makes sense to us.
Best Bets
Both Teams To Score: No. Northampton have stayed under 2.5 goals in their last 9 League Two games, and Grimsby are projected to score about 1.6 goals to Northampton's 0.9. This is where the value sits. Both teams scoring is rated at only 46.88%, and with finishing a clear weakness for both sides, a Grimsby clean sheet is a far more realistic outcome than the market suggests.
Total Goals Over/Under: Under 2.5 Goals. The model projects 2.46 goals, and Northampton's recent games have been low-scoring. Under 2.5 carries an AI probability of 55.45%, ahead of the implied probability in the current price. Northampton's games are rarely open, and Grimsby's own wasteful finishing should keep this a messy, low-event affair.
Grimsby vs Northampton Bet Builder
Our Grimsby vs Northampton bet builder tips combine three legs: Grimsby or Draw, Andy Cook to score anytime and Over 11.5 total corners, priced at 11/2 with Betway.
Grimsby or Draw has landed in 7 of the hosts' last 8 matches. Northampton have struggled for goals, so covering the draw adds cover without fighting the case for Grimsby.
Andy Cook has found the net in three of his previous four meetings with Northampton in League Two. He starts in the probable XI and is the obvious man to unlock a stubborn back line.
Over 11.5 total corners has hit in 4 of Grimsby's last 5 matches. The hosts like to control the game in the opposition's half, and that pins teams back.
At the time of writing, this bet builder pays a best price of 11/2 and is as short as 5/1 elsewhere.
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Bet builder odds correct at time of publishing.
Grimsby vs Northampton Talking Points
The key battle is at set pieces. Grimsby are strong in the air and dangerous from dead balls, but defending set pieces is the one area where Northampton genuinely excel, so the hosts may rack up corners without the end product and will need to find a way through in open play. Off the pitch, former Grimsby striker Danny North is back at Blundell Park as the club's Returning Mariner, and Northampton have been handed 800 tickets in the Osmond Stand. Add a visiting attack that has barely fired and our Grimsby vs Northampton best bets point firmly towards the hosts and a low total.
Grimsby vs Northampton Predictions FAQs
When is the Grimsby vs Northampton English League Two game?
The match is on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 15:00 UK time.
Where is Grimsby vs Northampton being played?
Grimsby vs Northampton is being played at Blundell Park.
What competition is Grimsby vs Northampton in?
Grimsby vs Northampton is an English League Two match.
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