Fiorentina look a decent bet to complete the job and win Thursday's second leg in Florence.
Fiorentina v Monchengladbach - Thursday 20:05, BT Sport Europe
Fiorentina took the first leg 1-0 and in doing so have taken a massive step towards qualification as they’re now as short as 1.36 to make it to the last-16. Since that win, they’ve lost 2-1 at Milan meaning they remain 8th in Serie A, while Monchengladbach were also beaten on the weekend as they lost 2-1 at home to RB Leipzig.
Fiorentina have lost only once in 16 home games in all competitions this term, winning three of their last four at the Stadio Artemio Franchi. They’ve also won three of their last five at home in the Europa League, whilst history will be on their side as well as teams that won 1-0 in the first away leg of a Europa League knockout tie have a W11-D6-L1 record in the return since 2010/11.
Having lost five away games in a row in the league, Monchengladbach have since managed seven points from their last three on the road. However, they generally struggle on their travels in Europe as they’ve lost five of their last seven away, though the majority of these were in the Champions League, including at the likes of Barca and Man City. Nonetheless, their poor form in general this season together with Fiorentina’s home record and the record of sides that have taken a 1-0 lead after the first leg suggests the hosts look an excellent price at 2.5 to win.
