Brentford vs Arsenal

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When bookmakers set betting lines, they estimate the likelihood of each outcome.

Value Bets, our Positive EV Tool available for Oddschecker+ subscribers, leverages advanced AI to perform 100 million projections each week and monitors 125 million live price changes daily. This enables it to identify bets that have a higher probability of winning than what the lines suggest.

Wednesday's EV Eagle Results:

Raúl Jiménez – Over 1.5 Shots - 1pt - 17/20 - Won
Maxence Lacroix – Over 0.5 Fouls - 1pt - 3/4 - Won
Ryan Gravenberch – Over 1.5 Tackles - 1pt - 10/11 - Lost
Florian Wirtz – Over 0.5 Shots On Target - 1pt - 6/4 - Won
Morgan Gibbs-White – Over 0.5 Shots On Target - 1pt - Won

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Running P/L: +18.5pts

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EV Eagle's Bet Builder Tip for Brentford vs Arsenal - 1pt

Best odds of 9/2 at bet365 while publishing.

Leg 1: Declan Rice - Over 1.5 Tackles

Declan Rice has been a tackling machine on the road, clearing 1.5 tackles in 8 of his last 10 away games, and even surpassing 2.5 tackles in 5 of those matches. His defensive consistency makes him a key figure in breaking up opposition play, especially against teams that rely on midfield possession.

Brentford’s recent matches highlight a tackling-friendly setup for central midfielders: Garner averaged 7 tackles, Iroegbunam 6, and Caicedo 5 in their last six Premier League fixtures, while Tonali (2), Willock (3), D Luiz (2), Sangare (2), and Enzo Fernandez (3) all contributed defensively.

This shows that Rice is likely to see plenty of opportunities to make interventions, and with his disciplined positioning and aggressive pressing style, he is very well placed to hit the over 1.5 tackles mark again.

Leg 2: Igor Thiago - Over 0.5 Shots on Target

Igor Thiago has been a consistent attacking presence for Brentford, registering at least one shot on target in 5 of his last 8 matches. His ability to create chances and test goalkeepers is evident in his home performances this season: 4 SOT vs Sunderland, 3 vs Liverpool, 3 vs Newcastle, 2 vs Man United, and 1 vs Man City.

These numbers illustrate that Thiago can produce in a variety of situations, even against top-tier opposition. Expect him to take advantage of spaces in Arsenal’s defense and contribute a shot on target early in the match, making the over 0.5 shots on target a solid call.

Leg 3: Trossard - Over 0.5 Shots on Target

With Martinelli unavailable, Leandro Trossard steps into the spotlight for shots-based bets. He averages 0.5 shots on target per game this season and takes 1.7 shots overall per match, highlighting his tendency to get into scoring positions.

Against Brentford, if Arsenal maintain their usual attacking pressure, Trossard is likely to create at least one clear opportunity on goal, and a shot on target looks very achievable if he is even moderately clinical.

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