The EV Eagle has landed on Oddschecker! 

In this new daily tipping series, the EV Eagle picks out their best bets from our Positive Expected Value tool, one of the premium tools available to Oddschecker+ subscribers. 

In today's article, the Eagle has picked out five of the best EV bets from today's football.

How does Positive Expected Value (EV) betting work?

When bookmakers set betting lines, they estimate the likelihood of each outcome.

Value Bets, our Positive EV Tool available for Oddschecker+ subscribers, leverages advanced AI to perform 100 million projections each week and monitors 125 million live price changes daily. This enables it to identify bets that have a higher probability of winning than what the lines suggest.

Yesterdays Results:
Morgan Gibbs-White – Over 1.5 Shots vs Everton – 1.5pt - LOST
Pedro Porro – Over 0.5 Shots vs Brentford – 1pt - LOST
Lukas Nmecha – Over 1.5 Shots vs Liverpool – 1.25pts - Void
Yuki Ohashi – Over 2.5 Shots vs Sheffield Wednesday – 1pts - Void
Aune Heggebø – Over 1.5 Shots vs QPR – 1.5pts - WON @ 17/20

Running P/L: +2.6pts

Tip 1: Alvaro Carreras Over 0.5 Fouls - 1pt

Álvaro Carreras to commit over 0.5 fouls looks like a strong selection, with an AI probability of 71.04% compared to the implied probability of 54.56%, giving it an impressive expected value of 30.22%.

The best odds of 5/6 are currently available on bet365.

Tip 2: Andrei Ratiu - Over 0.5 Shots - 1pt

Andrei Ratiu is backed to register over 0.5 shots for 1 point. His EV Eagle AI probability stands at 75.84% versus an implied probability of 57.14%, giving an expected value of 32.72%. Ratiu has taken 3, 0, 3, 1, and 2 shots in his last five games and averages 1.0 shot per game this season.

The best odds available are 3/4 at Coral during publishing.

Tip 3: Martin Satriano - Over 0.5 Shots On Target - 1pt

Martin Satriano has produced 4, 3, and 0 shots on target across his last three matches, averaging 0.8 shots on target per game this season while attempting 1.8 shots per match. With slightly sharper accuracy, he has every chance of landing this selection.

Our Positive EV tool projects this bet to land 65.99% of the time, meaning the available 10/11 odds at Betway create a strong +26.04% Expected Value on this play.

The best odds available are 10/11 at Betway while publishing.

Tip 4: Ajay Mitchell - Under 17.5 Points - 1.5pt

Ajay Mitchell Under 17.5 Points comes in with strong value based on recent form. With an AI probability of 79.98% compared to an implied probability of 47.62%, this bet offers an excellent EV of 67.96%. Mitchell has failed to clear the 17.5-point line in nine of his last ten games, and he hasn’t gone over it in any of his previous five.

If Oklahoma City build a sizeable lead by the third quarter, there’s a realistic chance Mitchell gets reduced minutes in the fourth, which further strengthens the case for the under. This combination of matchup context, recent scoring trends, and strong EV metrics makes the Under a solid and data-backed selection.

Best odds of 10/11 available at Skybet during publishing.

Tip 5: OG Anunoby - Over 1.5 Threes - 1.5pt

A strong value pick based on both form and matchup. The AI probability sits at 67.15%, comfortably higher than the 47.17% implied probability, giving this selection an impressive EV of 42.36%. Anunoby has cleared this line in 6 of his last 10 games, showing gradual improvement as he settles back in after injury.

The matchup also works in his favour—Orlando allow opponents to shoot 36.7% from three, making them vulnerable on the perimeter. Anunoby is hitting 38% from deep this season and averages 2.4 made threes per game, highlighting both efficiency and volume. Known for being a reliable three-point shooter throughout his career, Anunoby looks well-positioned to land at least two threes here, making this a strong and data-backed bet.

Best odds of 11/10 available at BetMGM UK during publishing.