The trends point to the hosts being ahead at the break and going on to secure three points.
Eibar v Malaga - Saturday 19:45, Sky Sports 3
Eibar’s run of three straight wins was brought to an end by Sevilla as they were beaten 2-0 at the Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán Stadium, though they remain in 7th, which represents an excellent season so far. Malaga, meanwhile, picked up their first win in 10 as they beat Las Palmas 2-1 at home to move up to 13th.
Eibar have been impressive at home this term, with two of their three defeats at the Ipurua Municipal Stadium coming against Barca and Atletico as they’ve managed a draw against Sevilla and beaten Sociedad, Villarreal and Celta Vigo, all of whom are above Malaga in the table. Indeed, they’ve scored seven in their last two at home and led at the break in their last four home victories, so they look a fair price to us at odds-against to win.
Though Malaga ended their winless run, their victory came at home to Las Palmas, who have lost eight of their 11 road games this term, and Malaga have only done slightly better on their travels themselves as they’ve drawn six of 12 winless games. Their defensive midfielder Camacho is suspended and they’ve won only four of the 16 games he’s failed to start since the start of last season, as they’ve struggled without their deep-lying playmaker. We’re backing Eibar/Eibar,on the half-time/full-time market, as they’ve done in their last four home wins, while Malaga have trailed at the break in 13 of their last 14 away defeats.
