Manchester City host relegation-threatened Leeds at the Etihad, with both sides desperate for points at opposite ends of the Premier League table. City aim to maintain their title push, while Leeds look to pull themselves out of the bottom three.
Man City vs Leeds Form and Head to Head
The Citizens suffered a 0-2 defeat in their last match at home to Leverkusen in the Champions League. Prior to that, Guardiola's team also succumbed to a 2-1 defeat to Newcastle away from home. They were, however, on a 4-game winning run before that.
Leeds were narrowly defeated 1-2 in their last match at home to Aston Villa. However, the Peacocks are struggling for form, having lost five of their last six Premier League matches and conceding at least two goals in six of their last seven.
The facts suggest that Man City have been winning at both half time and full time in their last 4 matches against Leeds in all competitions. There have been over 2.5 goals scored in Man City's last 3 games in the Premier League.
The last time these two teams met, Man City secured a 2-1 victory at the Etihad Stadium in May 2023. Across the last six encounters, Man City have dominated, winning four, drawing one, and losing one.
Man City have won their last 4 matches against Leeds in all competitions and have scored at least 2 goals in each of their last 4 matches against Leeds. The Citizens have also seen over 2.5 goals in their last 5 matches against the Peacocks in all competitions.
Who is the betting favourite in Man City vs Leeds?
According to latest odds, Manchester City are the clear betting favourites against Leeds United. Odds from recent markets give City a win probability of roughly 74% while Leeds are underdogs at around 10%.
| Winner | Best Odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|
| Man City | 1/4 | Unibet |
| Leeds | 12/1 | Betfred |
| Draw | 11/2 | bet365 |
Odds last updated on 11:30 Friday, 28th November.
Midnite
Man City vs Leeds Team News
Man City will be without Rodri and Kovacic due to injury. Pep Guardiola is expected to revert to a stronger lineup after experimenting with fringe players in the Champions League defeat to Leverkusen. González is likely to be the only player to retain his place from the midweek match.
Leeds manager Daniel Farke has the luxury of a fully fit squad but is still searching for a winning formula. Tanaka is expected to return to the midfield, potentially replacing Stach. Nmecha may lead the line ahead of Calvert-Lewin, having scored in the defeat to Aston Villa.
Man City vs Leeds Predicted Lineups
Man City (4-2-3-1): Donnarumma; O'Reilly, Gvardiol, Dias, Nunes; González, Silva; Doku, Foden, Cherki; Haaland
Leeds (4-3-3): Perri; Gudmundsson, Rodon, Bijol, Bogle; Tanaka, Ampadu, Longstaff; Okafor, Nmecha, Aaronson
Lineups powered by WhoScored.
Man City vs Leeds Match Prediction
Man City, despite a recent setback against Newcastle and Leverkusen, are expected to bounce back strongly against a struggling Leeds side. The Citizens' strengths in counter-attacks, creating chances through balls and individual skill, coupled with Leeds's weaknesses in aerial duels and defending through balls, point towards a comfortable home victory.
Man City's ability to control the game in the opposition's half further solidifies their dominance. Leeds are in terrible form and the stats point to another defeat.
Prediction: Man City 3-0 Leeds
Man City vs Leeds Player Stat Trends
Our EV Eagle has picked out five trending player stats for Man City vs Leeds.
Find 100s more player stat trends in our Trends Tool, available to Oddschecker+ Premium subscribers.
Nico González has won 2+ fouls in 3 of his last 3 games.
Sean Longstaff has won 2+ fouls in 3 of his last 3 games.
Dominic Calvert-Lewin has attempted over 1.5 shots in 5 out of 7 games.
Ethan Ampadu has committed over 1.5 fouls in 5 out of 7 games.
Jérémy Doku has won 2+ fouls in 4 of his last 5 games.
Erling Haaland has attempted over 2.5 shots in 4 out of 5 games.
Man City vs Leeds Bet Builder Tip
Our bet builder tip for Man City vs Leeds include Erling Haaland to score anytime, Both Teams Not to Score, 2.5+ Goals in the Match, and Joskvo Gvardiol to commit 1 or more fouls.
Best odds of 7/1 available on BetMGM UK while publishing.
Erling Haaland to score anytime
Erling Haaland enters this fixture as the Premier League’s leading scorer with 14 goals, and he remains Manchester City’s most reliable attacking outlet. Leeds have conceded 22 goals this season with 15 of those away from home.
Meanwhile, City have netted 16 goals in just six matches at the Etihad. With City’s chance creation at elite levels and Leeds’ defensive fragility on the road, Haaland is perfectly positioned to extend his scoring tally.
Both Teams to Score - No
Manchester City have been dominant defensively at home, while Leeds have struggled to carry attacking threat away from Elland Road, scoring only four away goals, with three of those coming in a single match against Wolves.
Outside that anomaly, Leeds have consistently lacked cutting edge in the final third. City’s control of possession and territorial advantage further supports the angle that only one side is likely to find the net.
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Over 2.5+ Goals in the Match
Matches at the Etihad have been high-scoring this season, with 67% of City’s home games featuring over 2.5 goals. Guardiola’s side routinely generate a high volume of chances, and even if Leeds struggle to contribute, City alone have proven capable of clearing this line. Leeds’ defensive issues are concerning, conceding 15 goals on the road.
Joskvo Gvardiol to commit 0.5+ fouls
Josko Gvardiol profiles strongly for this selection. He has committed at least one foul in each of his last four matches, averaging 1.0 fouls per game this season. Our EV Eagle model rates the chance of him committing a foul at 61.52% (AI Probability) against an implied 51.81%, giving the selection a +18.73% EV.
Leeds’ counter-attacking style and reliance on transitional moments should force Gvardiol into defensive actions that increase foul likelihood.
