Tournament: Premier League
Venue: Old Trafford, Manchester
Date: 26.12.2025
Time: 20:00 GMT

Man Utd vs Newcastle Form and Head to Head

Manchester United were defeated 2-1 away to Aston Villa in their last match. In their last six Premier League matches, the Red Devils have won two, drawn two, and lost two.

Newcastle drew 2-2 at home to Chelsea in their last match. The Magpies' form has been mixed, with two wins, two draws, and two losses in their last six Premier League games.

Newcastle have won 5 of their last 6 matches against Man Utd in all competitions. Additionally, there have been over 2.5 goals scored in 9 of Newcastle's last 10 games in the Premier League. The last time these two teams met, Newcastle emerged victorious with a 4-1 win at home in the Premier League in April 2025.

Newcastle have dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 5 of the last 6 matches against Manchester United. Newcastle have also scored at least 2 goals in 5 of their last 6 matches against Manchester United in all competitions.

Who is the betting favourite in Man Utd vs Newcastle?

Latest odds suggest Newcastle United are narrow betting favourites to beat Man United at Old Trafford, with the market implying an away win probability of around 38%. Manchester United are priced very closely behind, with their chances of victory around 37%, highlighting how finely balanced the contest is.

Match Result Best Odds Bookmaker
Manchester Utd 17/10 AK Bets
Newcastle United 13/8 Betfred
Draw 27/10 BetVictor

Odds last updated at 3PM Friday, 26th December

Man Utd vs Newcastle Team News

Manchester United will be without Fernandes due to injury. Maguire and De Ligt are doubtful. Diallo, Mbeumo, and Mazraoui are unavailable due to international duty. Casemiro returns after serving a one-match ban.

Newcastle are missing Trippier, Osula, and Botman through injury. Ruddy, Gillespie, Burn, Krafth, and Livramento are also sidelined. Pope is doubtful. Joelinton is struggling with a groin injury.

Man Utd vs Newcastle Predicted Lineups

Man Utd (3-4-2-1): Lammens; Shaw, Heaven, Yoro; Dorgu, Ugarte, Casemiro, Dalot; Mount, Cunha; Sesko

Newcastle (4-3-3): Ramsdale; Hall, Schär, Thiaw, Miley; Joelinton, Tonali, Guimarães; Gordon, Woltemade, Murphy

Lineups powered by WhoScored.

Man Utd vs Newcastle Match Prediction

Manchester United's form has been inconsistent, with just two wins in their last eight matches. Newcastle, despite their own struggles, have a strong recent record against the Red Devils. Manchester United have strengths in creating long shot opportunities and scoring chances.

However, they have weaknesses in defending counter attacks and set pieces. Newcastle are strong at attacking and defending set pieces, but weak at defending counter attacks and protecting the lead. Given the absences in both squads and Newcastle's historical dominance in this fixture, a draw seems the most likely outcome. The match forecast also suggests a low number of cards will be shown.

Prediction: Man Utd 1-1 Newcastle

Man Utd vs Newcastle Player Stat Trend

Our EV Eagle has picked out five trending player stats for Man Utd vs Newcastle.

Find 100s more player stat trends in our Trends Tool, available to Oddschecker+ Premium subscribers.

Casemiro has exceeded 1.5 Fouls in all 5 of his last 5 games.
Best odds of 10/11 at Star Sports while publishing.

Luke Shaw has exceeded 1.5 Tackles in 7 of his last 8 games.
Best odds of 7/9 at Unibet while publishing.

Harvey Barnes has exceeded 0.5 Shots On Target in 6 of his last 8 games.
Best odds of 17/20 at BetMGM while publishing.

Anthony Gordon has exceeded 0.5 Shots On Target in 4 of his last 5 games.
Best odds of 5/6 at William Hill during publishing.

Benjamin Sesko has exceeded 0.5 Fouls in 6 of their last 10 games.
Best odds of 8/11 at BetMGM during publishing,

Man Utd vs Newcastle Bet Builder Tip

Our Man Utd vs Newcastle Bet Builder Tip is Over 2.5 total goals, Both teams to score, Luke Shaw to make over 1.5 tackles, and Casemiro to be shown a card during the match.

Best odds of 7/1 available at bet365 while publishing.

Both teams to score and Over 2.5 total goals

Both Manchester United and Newcastle have leaky defences this season, landing BTTS in 7 of United's last 10 home games and 8 of Newcastle's last 10 away outings. With attacking firepower on both sides and high stakes at Old Trafford, expect goals at both ends in this Boxing Day thriller.

Man Utd games also average 3.2 goals while Newcastle's hit 2.9 this term, with 6 of their last 8 H2Hs exceeding this line. Both teams' open styles and attacking intent make three goals highly likely in this high-octane Premier League clash.

Luke Shaw to make over 1.5 tackles

Luke Shaw averages 2.1 tackles per 90 at home, clearing 1.5 in 8 of his last 10 starts. Facing Newcastle's pacey wingers like Gordon and Murphy, Shaw's defensive workload should easily hit this line.

Casemiro to be shown a card during the match

Casemiro leads United with 0.45 cards per 90 (9 yellows in 20 games), picking up bookings in 4 of his last 6 against Newcastle. His aggressive midfield style in big matches makes this a banker leg.

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