Morocco face Mali in a key Africa Cup of Nations clash as the Atlas Lions look to seal qualification with a win.
| Tournament: | African Cup of Nations |
|---|---|
| Venue: | Complexe Sportif Moulay Abdellah Stadium, Rabat |
| Date: | 26.12.2025 |
| Time: | 20:00 GMT |
Morocco vs Mali Form and Head to Head
Morocco enter this match following a 2-0 victory over Comoros in their last outing. The Atlas Lions have been in impressive form recently, winning all of their last five matches.
Mali drew 1-1 with Zambia in their most recent game. Their form has been less consistent, with three wins, two draws, and a loss in their last six matches.
Morocco have kept a clean sheet in their last three matches against Mali in all competitions. The previous meeting between these two nations saw Morocco triumph 6-0 in a World Cup Qualification CAF match back in 2017.
Over the last six encounters, Morocco have dominated, winning four, drawing one, and losing just one against Mali. Morocco have won their last three home matches against Mali in all competitions.
Who is the betting favourite in Morocco vs Mali?
Latest odds suggest Morocco are heavy betting favourites to beat Mali. Odds give Morocco an implied win probability of around 65% whereas Mali have roughly a 13% chance of victory.
| Match Result | Best Odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|
| Morocco | 11/20 | William Hill |
| Mali | 67/10 | 10bet |
| Draw | 3/1 | PricedUp |
Odds last updated at 2PM Friday, 26th December.
Morocco vs Mali Team News
Morocco may have to make a change in central defence as Saïss is doubtful after being forced off early in the last match. Aguerd and Yamiq are expected to partner in front of Bounou, with Hakimi and Mazraoui providing width from full back.
Mali are expected to reshuffle their midfield after Touré was withdrawn in the opener, with Haidara pushing for a start. Bissouma and Niakaté are doubtful for the match.
Morocco vs Mali Predicted Lineups
Morocco (4-3-3): Bounou; Hakimi, Yamiq, Aguerd, Mazraoui; Ounahi, Amrabat, Aynaoui; Saibari, Rahimi, Díaz
Mali (4-3-3): Diarra; Dante, Fofana, Diaby, Coulibaly; Haidara, Dieng, Sangaré; Nene, Doumbia, Sinayoko
Lineups powered by WhoScored.
Morocco vs Mali Match Prediction
Morocco are predicted to win this encounter 3-1. The Atlas Lions have demonstrated superior form and a strong head-to-head record against Mali, particularly at home. Morocco's attacking strengths, combined with Mali's vulnerability in closing out games, suggest a comfortable victory for the hosts. While both teams missed penalties in their opening matches, Morocco recovered well, and their ability to control games and maintain defensive solidity should see them through.
Prediction: Morocco 3-1 Mali
Morocco vs Mali Bet Builder Tip
Our Morocco vs Mali Bet Builder Tip includes Morocco to win, Over 2.5 Total Goals, and B. Diaz and E. B. Toure Over 0.5 Shots On Target each.
Best odds of 13/2 available at BetMGM UK while publishing.
Make sure to get the best odds on your Bet Builders with our exclusive Bet Builder Comparison Tool.
Over 2.5 Total Goals
Both teams have shown attacking intent this season, making over 2.5 goals a strong bet builder leg. Morocco's high-pressing style often leads to open games, while Mali's counter-attacks can expose defences.
E. B. Toure Over 0.5 Shots On Target
El Bilal Touré registered a shot on target last match against Tanzania despite missing a penalty, and he'll be eager to shake off that disappointment by testing Bono in the Moroccan goal. Averaging 1.35 shots on target per 90 with 58% accuracy, this leg looks solid.
B. Diaz Over 0.5 Shots On Target
Brahim Díaz scored twice in Morocco's last game and enters in excellent form, taking more shooting opportunities than teammates. His recent goalscoring exploits and central role make this a high-probability leg.
Morocco - Win Market
Morocco enter as clear favourites with superior squad depth and home advantage, backed by a 65% implied win probability. Their technical quality should overpower Mali in this group stage encounter.
