It’s perhaps not the most glamorous tie in the world, nor the most important, but Crystal Palace vs Burnley is all we have in the shape of Premier League action on Monday, so I’m diving in to find some value.

Perhaps I’m being a little harsh on Palace and Burnley (both on 42 points), as both of them still have an outside chance of securing European football for next season, but you feel whoever ends up winning this will knock the other side out of the equation, while a draw doesn’t really help either.

Both sides since the resumption have been given a hammering by either City or Liverpool, while also both securing a win against a relegation battler – Watford in Burnley’s case, Bournemouth in Palace’s.

They also have fairly similar characteristics: don’t score many, don’t concede many – though in general Palace score and concede slightly fewer than their Claret counterparts.

Palace will be sweating on the fitness of Vicente Guaita and Wilfried Zaha (the former sorely, sorely missed against Liverpool), but either way I’m leaning towards The Eagles in this.

Roy Hodgson’s men have a very, very good record against Burnley in recent years, winning their last four matches against them, and with Sean Dyche without his two best strikers—Ashley Barnes and Chris Wood—they’re going to have an even tougher time breaching this mean Palace defence.

At 5/4, Palace to continue their dominance over Burney at home looks a fair price.

However, for a little additional value, it’s also worth looking at Palace to win to nil.

Not only is Palace’s defence one of the best in the league and, as I mentioned, Burnley’s attack depleted, but three of Palace’s last four wins against Dyche’s men have been accompanied with a clean sheet.

If Guaita returns, 13/5 could well look a steal.