As far as Project Restart is concerned, it’s so far, so good for Graham Potter and his side.

Not only have Brighton taken four points from their two tough games against Arsenal and Leicester, but results have very much gone their way in regards to the sides below them.

The Seagulls aren’t safe, but a positive result in another tricky game—this time against Manchester United—will see them take another big step towards safety.

United have looked pretty good themselves. A demolition of Sheffield United, a creditable draw with Spurs and an extra-time winner against Norwich in the FA Cup is what Ole Gunnar Solskjaer has under his belt post-restart, and while he’ll be expecting three points on Tuesday, it’s a fixture which has traditionally caused problems for United.

Brighton have won their last two matches against Manchester United at The Amex, although the absence of a home crowd will seriously dent the Seagulls’ hopes this time around.

Furthermore, United were in disarray the last time they visited Brighton, and it at least feels like Solskjaer has at least sorted them out defensively, leaving the dangerous front men to do their thing without running the risk of being out-scored; something United have been guilty of in the past.  

Brighton have suddenly turned into a side who are quite hard to beat (succumbing in just one of their last seven games), and while I can see them causing the visitors problems, United will ultimately be too good with the fan-less playing field levelled.

David de Gea has kept clean sheets in five of his last seven matches, while Brighton have seen under 2.5 goals in five of their last six.

This’ll be more competitive than many are thinking, so an away win and under 4.5 goals at 10/11 looks a fairly solid value bet.   

Man U + Under 4.5 - 2pts @ 10/11