Football expert Ryan Elliott give his preview and tip for this Sunday's fixture between Burnley and Sheffield United
Since the Premier League has restarted, this is the fixture which has caused me the most headaches in terms of finding value.
If you’re looking at the result market, the bookies are as stumped as I am, with all three outcomes priced at either 9/5 or 2/1, which shows just how little there is to separate these two.
Sheffield United roared back into European contention with a fantastic win over Spurs on Thursday, while Burnley have won back-to-back league matches against Watford and Palace, keeping a clean sheet in both.
Is this a fixture which is likely to feature goals? I’m not so sure, and I’m certainly not willing to tip anything along these lines.
However, one market that did jump out at me was the corners market, and Sheffield United to have more corners at 23/20 looks like a fair punt.
The Blades average 5.93 corners-per-game this season, which is the 6th highest in the Premier League, while Burnley average significantly fewer (4.79 – the 7th lowest).
Indeed, on average United also concede fewer than Burnley (5.68 vs 5.79), and for this reason, considering the diminished ‘home advantage’ for Burnley, I see this as good value.
With some bookies, the odds imply that Burnley will earn more corners, but the numbers suggest otherwise, and for this reason, this is worth a nibble at 23/20.