Tom Love has picked out two tips for Sunday's fixture between Chelsea and Liverpool.
Both of these sides kicked off the campaign with wins and although Chelsea won by the bigger margin, it can be argued that Liverpool performed much the better of the two.
The Reds were probably a touch unfortunate to concede thrice against Leeds in their season opener, the Yorkshire club only created 0.4 xG but were surprisingly clinical, a far cry from their profligacy last season.
Chelsea created just 0.6 non penalty xG at the Amex and that’s unlike them. Timo Werner looked sharp up top if Kai Havertz didn’t, it will be interesting to see if Frank Lampard moves the former Leverkusen man to a more central role for this one. Problems still plague the blues from a defensive perspective and that could spell trouble against a hungry looking Mo Salah and co.
One thing the Blues do have in their favour is a decent home record towards the end of the campaign, winning their last 6 at the Bridge. Liverpool were efficient on the road last season, winning a lot of games by a single goal and fine margins.
That being said, their obsession with avoiding defeat really is staggering. They’ve lost just 3 of their last 38 premier league games so I could understand people avoiding Chelsea even though they’re a decent side.
There were frailties in the Liverpool defence towards the end of the season and Virgil Van Dijk has been culpable for a few goals this year. Werner will no doubt be looking to play on the shoulder and with Chelsea unlikely to be naturally deep and defensive we should expect a fun and entertaining match up.
I’d rather go with goals in this one than plump for any outrights and although the money has come for the over 2.5 we can still get some 17/20 with William Hill and that looks just the ticket.
I’ll also have a small play on the 2-1 away win in the correct score market. Liverpool won a large majority of their away games by a single goal last season and the price available looks very tempting indeed.