The EV Eagle picked out two anytime goalscorer winners on Sunday and has four tips for Monday's action.
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When bookmakers set betting lines, they estimate the likelihood of each outcome.
Value Bets, our Positive EV Tool available for Oddschecker+ subscribers, leverages advanced AI to perform 100 million projections each week and monitors 125 million live price changes daily. This enables it to identify bets that have a higher probability of winning than what the lines suggest.
Tip 1: Harvey Barnes to Score/Assist vs Coventry
Best odds of 6/4 with Paddy Power when writing. 1pt stake advised.
Harvey Barnes appeals at 6/4 to score or assist against Coventry, having registered a goal involvement in six of his previous nine Newcastle appearances. That consistency makes him an attractive option against a side whose recent home results suggest opportunities should be available.
Barnes supplied both assists in Newcastle’s 2-1 victory over Hull last time out. That creative contribution strengthens the case for the combined market, allowing him to deliver through either his finishing or his service to teammates.
Coventry have conceded eight goals in their previous two home matches across all competitions, losing 5-0 to Brighton before a 3-1 EFL Cup defeat against Aston Villa. Brighton’s victory was helped by a Coventry red card, although the hosts were already two goals behind when the dismissal came.
With Barnes contributing regularly and Coventry struggling defensively on home soil, 6/4 for a goal or assist looks an appealing way to back the Newcastle winger.
Tip 2: Kike Pérez 2+ Fouls Committed vs Atalanta
Best odds of 23/20 with Coral/Ladbrokes. 1pt stake advised.
Kike Pérez appeals at 23/20 to commit two or more fouls against Atalanta, having reached that mark in each of his previous two Serie A appearances. His broader record supports the selection too, with 2+ fouls in 13 of his last 20 outings across all competitions.
The midfield matchup provides further encouragement. Atalanta’s Éderson draws 2.03 fouls per 90 minutes, placing him among Serie A’s most-fouled players. Assuming both start, Pérez could find himself having to disrupt a midfielder who regularly wins free-kicks.
There is also a wider positional trend: at least one opposing central midfielder has committed two or more fouls in all but one of Atalanta’s games this season.
Pérez has started all five of Venezia’s league matches this season, accumulating 420 minutes, which offers reassurance over his involvement. His foul record and the opposition matchup make 23/20 an appealing price.
Tip 3: Jesper Karlström – Over 0.5 Shots vs Torino
Best odds of 11/10 with bet365. 1pt stake advised.
Jesper Karlström appeals at 11/10 to register at least one shot against Torino, having managed an attempt in each of his last four Serie A appearances.
Torino are conceding 16.5 shots per home game this season, the fourth-highest average in Serie A, suggesting Udinese should have opportunities to threaten.
Across Torino’s last 10 matches, 18 of the 25 opposing central-midfielders produced at least one shot, a 72% hit rate.
With no requirement for his effort to be on target, his recent four-game run and Torino’s high volume of shots conceded make over 0.5 shots at 11/10 an appealing selection.
Tip 4: Youssouf Fofana Over 2.5 Tackles vs Levante
Best odds of 5/4 with QuinnBet. 1pt stake advised.
Youssouf Fofana appeals to make three or more tackles against Levante, having reached that mark in all three of his starts for Sevilla.
At least one opposing central midfielder has recorded three or more tackles in every match against Levante this season.
Assuming he retains his starting place, his individual tackling record and Levante’s consistent positional pattern provide a persuasive case for over 2.5 tackles.
