Leeds (15th) host Sunderland (12th) at Elland Road in a key Premier League relegation scrap. Whites seek breathing room from drop zone; Black Cats eye top-half push.
| Tournament: | Premier League |
|---|---|
| Venue: | Elland Road, Leeds |
| Date: | 03.03.2026 |
| Time: | 19:30 GMT |
Leeds vs Sunderland Form and Head to Head
Leeds United were narrowly beaten 0–1 at home by Manchester City in their latest Premier League match. Across their last six games in all competitions, they’ve picked up just one win, along with three draws and two defeats. The only victory in that run was a 3–1 home success against Nottingham Forest, while they also shared points with Aston Villa, Birmingham City (though they progressed on penalties in the FA Cup), and Chelsea.
Meanwhile, Sunderland A.F.C. come into this one after a 1–1 draw away at AFC Bournemouth. Their recent form has been mixed too, with two wins, three defeats, and a draw in their last six outings.
The last meeting between the sides finished 1–1 in the Premier League in December 2025, when Sunderland were at home. Matches between Leeds and Sunderland tend to be tight, with the last six competitive encounters producing one win each and four draws, showing how evenly matched these teams usually are.
Who is the Betting Favourite in Leeds vs Sunderland?
Leeds are clear betting favourites to beat Sunderland at Elland Road, but the market still sees upset potential. Latest odds imply roughly a 52% chance of a Leeds win, and around 22% for Sunderland.
| Match Result | Best Odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|
| Leeds United | 10/11 | BresBet |
| Sunderland | 18/5 | Sporting Index |
| Draw | 5/2 | Betfred |
Odds last updated at 5:30PM Tuesday, 3rd March.
Leeds vs Sunderland Team News
Leeds are expected to be without Noah Okafor, who is listed as doubtful due to a muscle injury and is still a few weeks away from returning to action. Daniel Farke might consider recalling Lukas Nmecha to partner Dominic Calvert-Lewin upfront, with Nmecha having started the last two games on the bench.
Sunderland face a more significant injury list. Nordi Mukiele is out with a calf problem, while Brian Brobbey is set for weeks on the sidelines due to a groin injury. Romaine Mundle is a long-term absentee recovering from hamstring surgery, and Dennis Cirkin is still a week away from returning to action. Additionally, Traoré is listed as doubtful. These absences could significantly impact the visitors' squad depth and tactical options.
Leeds vs Sunderland Confirmed Lineups
Leeds (3-4-2-1): Darlow; Rodon, Struijk, Justin; Bogle, Ampadu, Gruev, Gudmundsson; Aaronson, Stach; Calvert-Lewin
Sunderland (3-4-2-1): Ellborg; Alderete, Ballard, O'Nien; Geertruida, Diarra, Sadiki, Hume; Angulo, Le Fée; Mayenda
Lineups powered by WhoScored.
Leeds vs Sunderland Match Prediction
Leeds United come into this game with confidence despite the loss to Manchester City. They tend to attack with plenty of shots, move the ball well through the middle, and create decent chances from open play and free kicks. Playing at home should help them maintain pressure, especially since they average about 12 shots per match.
Sunderland have shown some resilience but struggle with finishing chances and dealing with quick counterattacks and wide attacks. Their away form has also been poor recently, which could make this a tough trip.
Overall, Leeds’ stronger attacking play and home advantage make them slight favourites. A 2-1 win for Leeds feels like a realistic outcome, though Sunderland could still nick a goal if they manage to respond after going behind.
Prediction: Leeds 2-1 Sunderland
Leeds vs Sunderland Match Stat Trends
Our EV Eagle has picked out five trending player stats for Leeds vs Sunderland.
Find 100s more player stat trends in our Trends Tool, available to Oddschecker+ Premium subscribers.
Trai Hume has exceeded 0.5 Shots in 7 of their last 10 games.
Best odds of 8/11 BetMGM UK while publishing.
Daniel Ballard has exceeded 0.5 Shots in 7 of their last 10 games.
Best odds of 8/11 at Coral while publishing.
Pascal Struijk has exceeded 0.5 Fouls in 4 of their last 5 games.
Best odds of 4/5 at Unibet while publishing.
There have been 26+ shots taken in 3 of Leeds's last 4 matches in Premier League.
Best odds of 17/20 at Virgin Bet while publishing.
Habib Diarra has won 2+ fouls in 4 of their last 5 apps in Premier League.
Best odds of 5/4 at Skybet while publishing.
Leeds vs Sunderland Bet Builder Tip
Our Leeds vs Sunderland Bet Builder Tip is:
- Yes - Both Teams To Score
- A. Stach Over 2.5 - Tackles
- J. Justin Over 1.5 - Fouls Won
- D. Ballard Over 0.5 - Shots
Best odds of 12/1 available at bet365 at the time of publishing.
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