Matthew O’Regan has tipped a tempting 29/1 Bet Builder for Brighton’s derby with Crystal Palace.
Brighton vs Crystal Palace
Rivalries reignite on Sunday, with Brighton hosting bitter rivals Crystal Palace at the AMEX. The reverse fixture was a high-tempered but cagey affair, with similar expected again. Matthew O’Regan casts his unbiased (as much as possible) eye over the game with a 29/1 bet builder.
For years, this game has jokingly been dubbed the ‘El Gatwicko’ by neutrals, but with both managers under pressure from sections of the fanbase, many are now calling it the ‘el sackico.’ The hosts have won just one of their last 11, while the visitors are 12 without a win – a run that has seen them fail to beat Finnish minnow KuPs & Step Six Macclesfield.
Matthew O'Regan's Brighton vs Crystal Palace Bet Builder Tip
Matthew O'Regan's Brighton vs Crystal Palace Bet Builder Tip includes:
- Adam Wharton Over 1.5 Fouls
- Ismallia Sarr Over 1.5 Shots
- Pascal Groß Over 0.5 Shots
- Jan Paul Van Hecke To Be Booked
The best odds for the above Bet Builder is 29/1 at BetMGM UK while publishing.
Leg 1: Adam Wharton Over 1.5 Fouls
Adam Wharton’s discipline is likely to come under scrutiny once again. Recently sent off after committing four fouls against Chelsea, the midfielder has made at least one foul in eight of his last nine appearances and continued hat pattern in the reverse fixture. Against a Brighton midfield featuring the highly fouled Georginio Rutter, who wins 1.71 fouls per 90, and Carlos Baleba at 1.13 per 90, Wharton should find himself drawn into repeated duels. In what promises to be a cagey, tense contest, central midfielders are naturally required to engage more, increasing the likelihood of further infringements.
Leg 2: Ismallia Sarr Over 1.5 Shots
Ismaïla Sarr’s shooting volume also stands out. He is averaging 2.53 shots per 90 minutes across his last 30 appearances and has registered at least two shots in each of his last nine games. With Brighton conceding an average of 12.71 shots per match, Sarr should see ample opportunity to test the goal again, particularly in transition.
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Leg 3: Pascal Groß Over 0.5 Shots
Pascal Groß, meanwhile, returns to familiar territory as a Brighton talisman, once again at the heart of everything creative. Since coming back into the side, he has recorded a shot in all five league matches, including one appearance off the bench against Burnley, and arrives fresh from scoring against Everton. His history against Crystal Palace is encouraging too, having taken three shots in both meetings during the 2023/24 season. With Palace conceding 12.42 shots per 90, and Groß likely to be on free kicks, potential penalties, and possibly deployed in a number ten role, his involvement in shooting situations looks assured.
Leg 4: Jan Paul Van Hecke To Be Booked
Jan Paul van Hecke’s aggressive defensive style puts him firmly in the spotlight. Despite averaging just 0.83 fouls per 90, he picks up 0.26 yellow cards per match, often tasked with going man-for-man against the opposition’s most dangerous attacker. That role
invites cynical fouls and mistimed challenges. He was booked following a scuffle in the reverse fixture and was even sent off at Selhurst Park two years back. A passionate figure who visibly feels the weight of Brighton’s recent struggles, Van Hecke is likely to be highly charged for this clash.
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