Newcastle host Aston Villa at St James' Park, with the Magpies looking to recover from a 4-1 defeat at Coventry while Villa march on after a 6-0 UCL Win.
Newcastle have eight points from six league games and have conceded 13 goals, a joint division-high, although they remain unbeaten at home this season. Villa are 16th with five points, but they have won their last three away games in all competitions and scored six against Fenerbahce on Wednesday. Joelinton could make his first Premier League start of the season, while Aston Villa are without Ian Maatsen, Amadou Onana and Matteo Ruggeri. Kick-off is at 17:30 BST on Sky Sports.
Who is the Favourite to Win in Newcastle v Aston Villa?
Newcastle are slight favourites, priced at 6/5 to win with Betfred, while the draw is available at 11/4 and Aston Villa are 2/1.
The prices point to a tight game between two sides with inconsistent league form, and Villa will be looking for a second straight win at St James' Park for the first time in the Premier League.
Newcastle v Aston Villa Best Betting Tip
Best Bet: Half Time Result - Draw
Best odds: 29/20 (QuinnBet)
Stake: 1pt
The half time draw is the standout angle in a game between two sides that are fairly evenly matched. It has cleared in two of the last three league meetings between Newcastle and Villa, and in two of Villa's last three Premier League games.
Newcastle are unbeaten at home this season, and with both teams carrying injury problems and Newcastle looking to rebuild confidence after Monday's heavy defeat, a cagey opening 45 minutes is a sensible expectation. At 29/20, the half time draw offers a fair price in a game with no clear favourite.
Newcastle v Aston Villa Bet Builder Tip
Here's our Newcastle v Aston Villa Bet Builder Tip for Saturday's game:
- Yes - Both Teams To Score
- Harvey Barnes Over 0.5 - Shots On Target
- Nicolas Jackson Over 1.5 - Shots On Target
- Lewis Hall Over 1.5 - Fouls Won
Best odds of 19/2 at bet365 while publishing.
Both teams to score has hit in each of Newcastle's last four matches, in six of their last eight and in six of Villa's last seven. Neither side has kept a clean sheet in their last three games, which fits with the numbers at the back, as Newcastle have conceded 13 league goals and Villa 11 in six games.
Villa's defence is under strain, with Maatsen and Ruggeri out and Aaron Wan-Bissaka covering at left-back, while Newcastle's back line has just conceded four at Coventry. Both attacks have the quality to find a goal, which makes both teams to score the safest leg of the builder.
Barnes has registered at least one shot on target in four of his last four games, and his shots on target this season read 1, 1, 2, 1, 1, 0 and 0. That is a consistent return from a player who is expected to start.
Barnes' record suggests he will get at least one effort on target against a Villa defence that has allowed 11 goals in six league games.
Jackson's shots on target this season read 3, 2, 2, 2, 0 and 0, which means he has had at least two in four of six games. He has been in brilliant form for Villa, scoring twice against Fenerbahce on Wednesday, and he has finished with over 2.5 shots in each of his past two Premier League games.
With Newcastle's defence having conceded 13 league goals, Jackson should get plenty of opportunities, and he is the most likely Villa attacker to test the goalkeeper repeatedly.
Hall's fouls won this season read 1, 2, 1, 3, 1, 2, 2 and 0, and he averages 1.5 fouls won per 90 in the Premier League this season. He has won two or more fouls in four of his eight games, so this line sits close to his average.
He has won two or more fouls in half of his games, so he is capable of reaching the line again, and a fixture between two sides that have each been shown 13 yellow cards this season should not lack contact.
Newcastle v Aston Villa Player Card Tip
Best Bet: Joelinton - To be Shown a Card
Best odds: 47/20
Stake: 1pt
Joelinton is our card tip for Saturday's game. He has been carded in three of the last three games he has started against Villa, and he was booked in the last game as well, despite only coming on in the second half.
His foul counts over his last nine matches read 1, 4, 3, 2, 1, 3, 1, 3 and 3, and he has been booked five times in that period. Newcastle have been shown 13 yellow cards this season and average 11.83 fouls per 90, and with Joelinton in contention to start in midfield, he is a strong candidate to pick up a card.
